Gate 2025 Year-End Community Gala 1. Key Indicator Analysis

• Price and Moving Averages: Current price is 3,287.68 USDT, breaking below MA5 (3,312.37), MA10 (3,317.90), and MA30 (3,342.18). Short-term moving averages are in a bearish alignment, indicating that bearish momentum dominates.

• Bollinger Bands (BOLL): Price touches the lower band (3,287.77), close to today's low of 3,275.01. There is a technical rebound demand, but it remains to be seen whether the lower band support is effective.

• MACD Indicator: DIF (-10.95) is below DEA (-6.44), and the MACD histogram is negative, showing short-term momentum is still bearish. However, the narrowing gap between DIF and DEA suggests a potential reversal.

• Volume: Current volume is 149 million, higher than MA5 (108 million), indicating increased trading activity during the decline, and panic selling pressure has not been fully released.
2. Long-term Feasibility Assessment

✅ Potential Opportunities

• Price touches the lower Bollinger Band and is near today's low, indicating a possible technical rebound.

• Order book shows buy orders account for 50.15%, slightly higher than sell orders, with initial support from buy-side orders below.

• Your current long entry point (green point B) is at a low price level. If the market stabilizes later, there is room for profit.

⚠️ Risk Warning

• Short-term moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and MACD has not yet formed a golden cross, raising doubts about the sustainability of the rebound.

• If the price falls below today's low of 3,275.01, it may trigger further decline.

• Overall market sentiment is bearish, and sudden negative news could lead to a breakdown and further drop.
3. Trading Recommendations

• Light Positioning for Longs: If the price stabilizes above 3,290 and MACD shows a golden cross signal, consider entering a small position, with a stop-loss below today's low of 3,275.

• Wait and See: If the lower band support fails or volume continues to shrink, wait for clear stabilization signals (such as a bullish breakout above MA5 or MACD golden cross) before entering.

• Risk Control: Regardless of whether you enter a position, set strict stop-loss levels to avoid blind holding.