2026-01-16 12:46:20

The mathematical logic of price increases and decreases is actually not symmetrical — this is a common pitfall that many traders tend to overlook.

If a coin rises from 100 to 200, that's a doubling. But to fall back from 200 to 100, the decline appears to be only 50%. In the same price range, one is a 100% increase, and the other is a 50% decrease. Many people directly convert the percentage of the rise into the percentage of the fall, which leads to absurd results.

The most frightening part is that a single sharp decline can wipe out an entire upward cycle in just 2 candlesticks or 2 hours. The bears concentrate their firepower, liquidity dries up instantly, and the coin price drops like free fall. That's why it's often said in the market that upward movement is like climbing stairs, while downward movement is like taking the elevator. It's easy to chase the rise, but hard to cut losses.

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FadCatcher

· 22h ago

I've understood this logic a long time ago, the key is still mindset. Most people die at the stop-loss point. It's easy to get excited when it rises from 100 to 200, but when it drops back from 200 to 100, they start fantasizing about a rebound. How many times have they fallen into this trap? When liquidity dries up, it's truly despairing. I've seen it happen in five minutes, smashing through three months of gains. Going upstairs and taking the elevator—it's a perfect analogy. But when it really comes to critical moments, no one can react in time. That's why I now set stop-losses almost reflexively; otherwise, the mindset can easily explode.

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LiquidationWizard

· 01-17 06:23

Oh, this is probably the reason I lose money every time. I miscalculated when prices go up. That line about taking the elevator is hilarious. Last time, I literally jumped off a building. Falling from 200 to 100 is really not as gentle as "only a 50% drop" as I imagined. Falling back to the pre-liberation era overnight, I understand liquidity disappearance techniques all too well.

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MEV_Whisperer

· 01-16 15:52

Damn, this math is really incredible, no wonder I keep getting trapped --- Wait, so a 100% increase only requires a 50% drop to break even? I've been calculating it backwards all along --- That line about taking the elevator is so true, every time I get knocked down like that --- No wonder it's said that stop-loss is difficult, because the decline is really ridiculously fast --- That's why I now always apply a discount when looking at gains, to prevent myself from getting too excited --- The moment liquidity dries up is the beginning of despair, everyone be careful --- Two hours to complete the entire cycle? I just want to ask who can withstand that --- Finally understood, no wonder so many people cut their losses during a crash, they simply can't react in time

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gas_fee_therapist

· 01-16 13:15

Wow, this math is really amazing. Why didn't I think of this before... 50% and 100% are not equivalent at all. No wonder it always feels like the decline is so rapid.

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ProofOfNothing

· 01-16 13:14

Really, many people haven't realized the inequality here. I've also fallen into this trap before. Rising from 100 to 200 was incredibly satisfying, but dropping back to 100 can make you collapse. The same price difference, but the mindset is worlds apart. In 2 hours, wiping out three months of gains—that's why I say the bears are just crazy... Without liquidity, there's really nothing you can do.

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BlockchainNewbie

· 01-16 13:13

Damn, I really need to do the math... Doubling from 100 to 200, but dropping back from 200 to 100 only counts as a 50% loss. That's really outrageous. I've fallen for this trick before, chasing the rally blinded by greed. Two hours wipe out half a year's worth of market trends—that's my daily routine. Climbing stairs and taking the elevator, that's just too perfect—I'm always getting screwed over. Stop-losses, they sound simple, but actually implementing them... forget it, let's not even talk about it.

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ILCollector

· 01-16 13:09

Here we go again, I've fallen into this math trap more than once... It's really outrageous. The part about taking the elevator hit a nerve, in just 2 hours, I lost a month's worth of gains. I couldn't help but say, "You know your stuff." The key is that "stop loss" sounds simple, but when the market really drops, your hands start to shake, and as a result, you get trapped even deeper.

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ContractSurrender

· 01-16 13:07

Oh my god, this math logic is really amazing. No wonder I can never figure it out. Just drop back all at once, and it's over. Are you really taking the elevator? I was坑过 before, now I just divide the increase by two when I see the rise, just to be safe. 2 hours to crush a month's worth of market trends, which is why I only dare to trade small positions now. Stop-loss is much harder than chasing the rise. I set it very strictly now.

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liquidation_watcher

· 01-16 13:02

Wow, this math is really amazing. Doubling 100 bucks is easy, but dropping back from 200 to 100 is only considered a 50% loss. How many people did this trap?

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TokenAlchemist

· 01-16 13:01

yeah this asymmetry thing is exactly why most retail gets liquidated tbh... the math doesn't care about your feelings, 100 to 200 vs 200 to 100 are literally different beasts

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