On 2026-01-13 14:40 (UTC+8), ETH is quoted at approximately $3,102 USD, down 0.65% in 24h, with a fluctuation range of $3,065-$3,171 USD, trading volume of 21 billion USD. The overall trend is converging and oscillating, with neutral indicators, awaiting a direction choice.

Key Levels

- Support: 3,080 (strong, 86/100), 3,050, 3,000
- Resistance: 3,180 (key, 84/100), 3,210, 3,250

Indicator Overview

- Trend: Price is above **EMA20 (3,098)**, indicating a short-term bullish bias; 4h Supertrend signals a bearish trend, with trend divergence.
- Momentum: RSI(14)=51.2 neutral; MACD red bars are narrowing, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
- Pattern: 4h/daily charts show a converging triangle; multiple tests of 3,180 have failed, with a high probability of a false breakout followed by a pullback.

Trading Strategy (Swing/Short-term)

- Long: Support at 3,080-3,060, go long after stabilization, stop loss at 3,030, target 3,180, break above to watch 3,210.
- Short: Rebound to 3,180 encountering resistance, short with stop loss at 3,210, target 3,080, break below to watch 3,050.
- Wait-and-see: Avoid blindly opening positions at intermediate levels (3,100-3,150), wait for a breakout/breakdown with volume before entering.

Risk Management Points

- Position size ≤20%, single trade stop loss ≤ **2%** of capital.
- Monitor BTC correlation and Ethereum ecosystem news (such as Layer2 developments), beware of sudden volatility.
- Breakouts must be confirmed with volume; false breakouts are likely to trigger stop losses.