2026-01-12 23:22:48

Listen to me, recently the market has been acting pretty crazy. A big industry insider first said "The super cycle is coming," then quickly changed their tune to "I might have been wrong." And what happened? A bunch of people choose to ignore the second part, their minds full of fantasies about "getting rich overnight." I have to pour cold water on everyone: at this point, blindly going all-in will most likely leave you crying into your keyboard next year.

Let me start with my judgment— the current macro environment simply can't support a real bull market. The so-called super cycle is a long-term narrative; it's not something you and I can catch just by short-term trading.

Look at the global economy now. The latest United Nations report clearly states: the global economic growth rate in 2026 is expected to be only 2.7%, even lower than last year. Trade growth is even worse, at just 2.2%. In plain terms—everyone is out of money. Domestic consumption recovery is slow, international tariffs keep fighting, and geopolitical conflicts are constantly burning money. Think about it: ordinary people's mortgage and car loans are almost unaffordable, so where's the spare cash to play high-risk crypto? Money is the blood of the market; if the blood is insufficient, even the best stories are useless.

Looking deeper, the crypto market is already filled with old faces. The influx of fresh blood is far from as optimistic as imagined. This means, relying on new retail investors to buy in and push prices higher? Dream on.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

14 Likes

Reward
14
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

mev_me_maybe

· 01-14 09:29

It sounds like just another round of a rug pull script, the old routine.

View OriginalReply0

alpha_leaker

· 01-12 23:52

Another obvious game, even the big shots don't believe it anymore, and we still have to step in to take the fall? That's hilarious.

View OriginalReply0

ForkItAllDay

· 01-12 23:52

Here comes another "big shot changes tune" act, it really made me laugh haha --- In an era of no money, still dreaming of getting rich overnight, what were they thinking? --- No matter how good the story is when blood is insufficient, it’s useless. That’s the core message. --- Old faces are bloodsucking, new greenhorns are almost extinct. --- Tariff wars, geopolitical conflicts, mortgage and car loans are all unaffordable, and you’re still playing with crypto? --- Selective hearing ignores the second half of the sentence, this is the problem with most people. --- A 2.7% growth rate supporting a bull market? Wake up, everyone. --- Short-term trading caught in a super cycle? I think it’s the short-term being messed with by the super cycle. --- In an era of capital depletion, no matter how many stories you tell, it’s all nonsense. --- Fresh blood isn’t entering the market, how is this market going to continue?

View OriginalReply0

TokenTaxonomist

· 01-12 23:47

per my analysis, this is just another round of cryptographic darwinism playing out in real-time. the macro data contradicts every bull case floating around rn... 2.7% global growth? that's an evolutionary dead-end for retail liquidity tbh

Reply0

GateUser-6bc33122

· 01-12 23:40

You are absolutely right. I'm tired of those big players repeatedly jumping around, and retail investors following to buy at high prices. There are really fewer new rookies; it's mostly old-timers cutting each other, so how high can this market go? With such tight liquidity, daring to go all-in—what strong mental resilience that takes... Next year, you'll definitely be crying. Given the macro environment, it's better to put short-term dreams aside; reality is quite harsh.

View OriginalReply0

BearMarketBuilder

· 01-12 23:33

Oh no, it's the same old story. The big shots change their tune, and the retail investors still have to be sacrificed. Selective deafness is so real; I know plenty of people around me who do that. Economic data is right there, and yes, it's grim. But honestly, some people just refuse to believe it and only wake up when they've lost everything. It's hard for new blood to enter the market. This wave definitely isn't like 2021's madness. The dream of easy money should wake up now. People going all-in next year will be quite interesting; I'll just watch. The argument that the whole world has no money doesn't hold water; ordinary people really don't have the spare capacity anymore. Big shots' words should just be taken as a reference, not as gospel. Tariff wars and geopolitical conflicts are indeed draining resources, but the crypto world is so magical—if it’s going to rise, it will rise. If new faces don't enter the market, whose money will drive the rise? That's the real problem. You're right, but I still plan to participate with small amounts, just in case.

View OriginalReply0