2026-01-12 23:22:17

Have you noticed that the more people study complex indicators, the faster their account numbers drop?

I've interacted with many beginners who spend day and night analyzing MACD golden crosses, chasing hot trends, and waiting for signals from big Twitter influencers. And what happens? Their principal shrinks like a leaking balloon, deflating step by step. The problem isn't a lack of effort—it's that the market only eats this up. The more confident you are, the easier you are to be taught a lesson.

Remember last year's SOL rally? Someone in the group saw the upward trend and FOMOed in, only to get trapped at the top. Meanwhile, those who stuck to "not touching below the 60-day moving average" managed to scoop up cheap chips during the big correction. The huge profits in crypto trading are never about predictions—they're about how you respond.

**So, what exactly is my strategy? It boils down to three sentences.**

**First sentence: Candle rhythm determines everything**

I only look at the 11-day cycle. Why this number? It took a year or two of trial and error to confirm. Less than a week, and you get confused by washout noise; more than half a month, and you risk missing the start signals. A healthy trend is when you see consecutive bullish candles with a gradual rise. Conversely, rapid surges or continuous declines mean I turn around and walk away.

**Second sentence: Use the monthly chart to determine direction, the daily chart to find timing**

If a coin's monthly MACD just had a golden cross, it indicates bullish momentum is strengthening (like ETH's performance at the end of 2025). But old coins with long-standing divergence in their golden cross have no more potential.

On the daily chart—when the price falls back to the 60-day moving average—if volume shrinks but there's no crash, that’s the window to scoop up bargains. Heaven doesn’t often reward patience; if you miss it, you have to wait for the next opportunity.

**Third sentence: Stop-loss and take-profit must be executed mechanically**

If the price breaks below the 60-day moving average, accept the loss unconditionally. No matter how reluctant, cut it. When in profit, take profits in batches—don't wait for a full reversal to give back all gains—that's the most common mistake.

Sounds simple? Exactly because it is simple, most people can't stick to it. The market's cruelest part isn't a sudden crash, but the moment it tempts you to gamble.

SOL1,15%

ETH1,4%

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BackrowObserver

· 01-14 03:30

There's nothing wrong with that, but execution is the key. Those around me who make money are all using this approach, while those who watch the indicators every day are all trapped investors.

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SigmaValidator

· 01-13 08:10

That's right, that's the principle. I used to watch the market every day too, and ended up losing terribly. Now I stick to the 11-day cycle, and the simple and straightforward approach actually works better. --- The 60-day moving average is truly the lifeline; once it breaks, just run, no hesitation. Most people refuse to admit losses and end up being washed out. --- I'm also using this logic; mechanical execution is the key to making money. Emotional trading is just giving money to the market. --- It's a wake-up call—complex indicators are actually poison. Simple rules can help you survive longer. --- That wave in SOL was indeed clear; everyone rushing in ended up tragic. The real profit-makers are waiting for that moment. --- The monthly trend and daily timing—I'm following this combination now and feel like I’ve found the rhythm. --- Stop-loss is the hardest to execute, but also the most critical. Clinging to that small point, and you end up getting buried—truly stupid.

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Deconstructionist

· 01-12 23:52

That's really clever. The simplest rules are often the hardest to follow... I think the key is really mindset—when it rises, you want to go all in; when it falls, you want to buy the dip, and in the end, you're just repeatedly getting slapped. I'm also using the 60-day moving average trick, but my problem is always trying to find a more "perfect" timing, which results in missing more opportunities than I catch. I agree with taking profits in stages. I once gave back all my gains out of greed, but now I take profits when things look good. No matter how much you study indicators, it’s useless. It seems most people just have a problem with overtrading...

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BloodInStreets

· 01-12 23:50

You're absolutely right, I'm that kind of idiot who researches indicators all the way to bankruptcy, haha. Simple enough to cut to the bone, but execution is hard as hell, that's the market. The 60-day line really is a dividing line, I've stepped in too many pits to understand that. The most painful part of cutting losses isn't the money, it's that moment of admitting defeat.

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ThatsNotARugPull

· 01-12 23:40

It's a good point, but I'm still a bit hesitant about the 60-day moving average hurdle, always wanting to wait and see a bit more.

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tokenomics_truther

· 01-12 23:38

That's right, armchair strategizing is the most costly. I've seen too many people study indicators every day, only to get liquidated in the end. I also use the 60-day moving average; simplicity and brutality are the keys to survival. That FOMO moment, and your account is gone. Truly. Studying complex indicators? That's just a fancy way of giving money to the market. Mechanically executing stop-losses sounds easy, but actually doing it is really damn hard. Big V signals are useless; maintaining your own discipline is the real key.

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MerkleMaid

· 01-12 23:24

Oh my, it's that 11-day cycle argument again. I've actually tried it and it can really make money. I'm on board with the idea of taking profits in batches, but I just can't decide when to do it. This guy is right; the simplest things are the hardest to execute. I've been studying indicators for three years. The rule of not touching below the 60-day moving average sounds easy, but every time there's a pullback, I want to go all in. Truly reckless. Relying on response rather than prediction—that's the key. That hit home. Slipping up and FOMO are the ultimate ailments.

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