Extreme volatility in the crypto market always strikes unexpectedly. While it’s rare for BTC or ETH to plummet more than 20% in a single day, when it does happen, it’s the ultimate test of your risk management system. What do seemingly stable arbitrage strategies experience in such market conditions? Based on practical experience, I’ve outlined a set of response strategies that I hope can help you get through critical moments.
**When a crash occurs, what’s the first thing to do**
As the market begins to decline, don’t let panic emotions take over. All you need to do is one thing—open the protocol interface and keep a close eye on the health factor or collateral ratio. These determine how much safety buffer you still have.
Suppose the initial collateral ratio is 60%, with a liquidation threshold set at 80%. This means the collateral value can drop by about 33% before liquidation is triggered. Quickly calculate the current price level to understand how much further it can fall. This calculation can save your life.
Short-term panic-driven drops often rebound. If there’s still more than 20% space before reaching the liquidation line, staying calm is crucial. Rushing to repay or blindly adding collateral might cause you to be liquidated just before dawn.
**When danger approaches, activate your contingency plan**
If the decline continues and the collateral ratio rises above 70%, it’s time to act. Usually, there are three options, prioritized as follows:
First is adding collateral. If you still have idle assets of the same kind, depositing them into the protocol can quickly lower the collateral ratio. This is the most stable and straightforward move.
Second is partial repayment. Use some stablecoins or other assets to repay part of the loan. Although this reduces leverage returns, it significantly lowers risk exposure. In extreme market conditions, survival is more important than profit.
Third is reducing your position by selling collateral. This is a last resort. Selling during a sharp decline means exiting at the worst possible price, but if liquidation pressure is imminent, you have no choice but to grit your teeth and accept it.
**Details determine life or death**
Many underestimate the craziness of the market. A 20% single-day drop is already extreme, but if there are multiple shocks within that range, psychological defenses will break down repeatedly. Setting alert thresholds in advance is very necessary.
For example, you can set two trigger points: one at a 65% collateral ratio for the first warning, and another at 75% to activate the second contingency plan. This way, you won’t be caught off guard by sudden crashes.
Another often overlooked point—liquidation often occurs faster than theoretical calculations suggest. During a sharp decline, liquidity becomes tight. When you want to add collateral or repay, network congestion may cause delays, which can be fatal. Therefore, acting one step ahead always pays off.
**Mental resilience is the ultimate weapon**
DeFi risks are never just about numbers; they are also psychological. Watching your numbers plunge and the liquidation line inch closer can create a suffocating feeling that destroys rational judgment. But after experiencing this a few times, you’ll realize that the most profitable moves are often not aggressive operations, but those that keep a clear head and cut losses in extreme conditions.
Protocol risks, smart contract risks, oracle risks, and so on all objectively exist, but among controllable risks, the biggest is often ourselves. Lock in profits when it’s time, accept losses when necessary, and exit when it’s time to run. Only by surviving can you wait for the next opportunity.
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ZkProofPudding
· 01-15 18:32
Honestly, this theory doesn't work well in a bull market. Once there's a 20% crash, it immediately fails. I just want to ask, during network congestion, how do you add collateral? No matter how fast your reaction, it's useless.
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SatoshiSherpa
· 01-12 22:53
To be honest, these theories all sound correct, but when the liquidation line approaches, no one can stay completely calm.
What’s the point of setting alarm lines? Isn’t it better to just run away? DeFi is basically a casino.
The part about network congestion on the Liquid network is quite heartbreaking. I’ve fallen for this before and just couldn’t catch up with repayments.
Having a good mindset is great, but watching the health bar drop by half... never mind, I won’t mention it.
Protocol risk is the biggest issue; no matter how perfect the collateralization rate model is designed, it’s all pointless.
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MeaninglessApe
· 01-12 22:45
Read the entire article, and the core message is one sentence—don't wait for the liquidation line to knock, running early will never be a regret.
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GateUser-e87b21ee
· 01-12 22:41
The liquidation line really needs to be monitored daily. Last time, I didn't react in time and got wiped out.
Surviving is more important than anything else. That’s not wrong.
When the network was congested, I couldn't even add collateral, huge loss.
Mindset is indeed the biggest enemy. It's easy to say but hard to do.
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PerpetualLonger
· 01-12 22:30
Coming with the same set again? I just want to ask, this time during the crash, why didn't you say "buy the dip and change your fate"?
Where are the brothers who were fully invested and liquidated? Where have they all gone, brothers...
What health coefficient, I only recognize one: as long as I haven't been liquidated, I'm still alive. Continuing to add positions is the real principle.
Run away? Impossible, this is the last bottom. I have full faith in that.
Purely a bear market conspiracy, just wait. When the bull market comes, we will all recover our losses and tenfold our gains.
Extreme volatility in the crypto market always strikes unexpectedly. While it’s rare for BTC or ETH to plummet more than 20% in a single day, when it does happen, it’s the ultimate test of your risk management system. What do seemingly stable arbitrage strategies experience in such market conditions? Based on practical experience, I’ve outlined a set of response strategies that I hope can help you get through critical moments.
**When a crash occurs, what’s the first thing to do**
As the market begins to decline, don’t let panic emotions take over. All you need to do is one thing—open the protocol interface and keep a close eye on the health factor or collateral ratio. These determine how much safety buffer you still have.
Suppose the initial collateral ratio is 60%, with a liquidation threshold set at 80%. This means the collateral value can drop by about 33% before liquidation is triggered. Quickly calculate the current price level to understand how much further it can fall. This calculation can save your life.
Short-term panic-driven drops often rebound. If there’s still more than 20% space before reaching the liquidation line, staying calm is crucial. Rushing to repay or blindly adding collateral might cause you to be liquidated just before dawn.
**When danger approaches, activate your contingency plan**
If the decline continues and the collateral ratio rises above 70%, it’s time to act. Usually, there are three options, prioritized as follows:
First is adding collateral. If you still have idle assets of the same kind, depositing them into the protocol can quickly lower the collateral ratio. This is the most stable and straightforward move.
Second is partial repayment. Use some stablecoins or other assets to repay part of the loan. Although this reduces leverage returns, it significantly lowers risk exposure. In extreme market conditions, survival is more important than profit.
Third is reducing your position by selling collateral. This is a last resort. Selling during a sharp decline means exiting at the worst possible price, but if liquidation pressure is imminent, you have no choice but to grit your teeth and accept it.
**Details determine life or death**
Many underestimate the craziness of the market. A 20% single-day drop is already extreme, but if there are multiple shocks within that range, psychological defenses will break down repeatedly. Setting alert thresholds in advance is very necessary.
For example, you can set two trigger points: one at a 65% collateral ratio for the first warning, and another at 75% to activate the second contingency plan. This way, you won’t be caught off guard by sudden crashes.
Another often overlooked point—liquidation often occurs faster than theoretical calculations suggest. During a sharp decline, liquidity becomes tight. When you want to add collateral or repay, network congestion may cause delays, which can be fatal. Therefore, acting one step ahead always pays off.
**Mental resilience is the ultimate weapon**
DeFi risks are never just about numbers; they are also psychological. Watching your numbers plunge and the liquidation line inch closer can create a suffocating feeling that destroys rational judgment. But after experiencing this a few times, you’ll realize that the most profitable moves are often not aggressive operations, but those that keep a clear head and cut losses in extreme conditions.
Protocol risks, smart contract risks, oracle risks, and so on all objectively exist, but among controllable risks, the biggest is often ourselves. Lock in profits when it’s time, accept losses when necessary, and exit when it’s time to run. Only by surviving can you wait for the next opportunity.