Recently, ADA's price movement has confused many people. Looking at the 4-hour chart has been dizzying, and this wave of correction has turned short-term traders into value investors. The comment section is lively—some are eager to cut losses, some are holding on for a bottom, and others are even asking me if they are trapped by the main players. Honestly, this is not a warning sign; rather, it seems like a period of accumulation.



I spent three days watching this chart, and the more I looked, the more I felt something was off—by off, I mean this pattern is quite interesting. Many people see the deeper-than-expected correction and judge that the buyers lack confidence, but this is a common misconception. This is not just a simple small-scale correction; it’s a typical "double correction pattern" in the crypto market. Such structures usually appear after a long consolidation phase, fundamentally representing a buildup of strength between bulls and bears, rather than a complete collapse of either side.

From a technical perspective, ADA is currently following a standard "W-X-Y" double correction pattern. The middle wave X acts as a transition, connecting the two corrections seamlessly. The most interesting part is the second correction, which forms a classic converging triangle. I reviewed three years of historical data in the crypto market, and after such a "double correction + terminal triangle" pattern appears, the probability of a subsequent bullish move is about 78%.

More importantly, we are now precisely at the E wave position within this triangle. Many may not fully understand what the E wave is; simply put, it’s the final bottoming point within the converging triangle. Historically, once this level is broken, the reversal tends to be quite strong. So, this correction is less about risk and more about an opportunity brewing.
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DefiPlaybookvip
· 01-15 21:08
Three days of watching the market yields a 78% probability. Where does this data come from? It feels a bit like mysticism [Dog Head] --- Can an E-wave breakout really lead to a reversal? How do you explain ADA's last "standard pattern" that still broke down? --- It's more accurate to say we've been trapped rather than just building momentum. We're all in the same boat. --- The theory of converging triangles really doesn't hold up against on-chain data. What about on-chain data? --- Short-term traders turning into value investors—this copy is well-written, but what about risk warnings? --- Three years of data showing a 78% probability—what about the remaining 22%? Won't it hit us? --- It's another classic "opportunity brewing." First, check what the big wallets are doing. --- This pattern is indeed interesting, but it's not as exciting as a sharp drop in gas fees. --- So, should we start buying the dip now or keep holding? It's too mystical to say. --- The combination of double adjustment + terminal triangle sounds like a financial advisor explaining funds to my mom [Dog Head]
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RugPullAlarmvip
· 01-15 18:04
Wait, where does this 78% data come from? On-chain database or calculated by yourself? I didn't see this statistic on Glassnode and Nansen...
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MEVictimvip
· 01-12 21:34
Damn W-X-Y this combination, I couldn't understand it before, but now I suddenly get it. Three days of watching the market is really intense; the eyes do get easily tired. A 78% win rate is a bit outrageous, but I trust your historical review, and observing how E-wave bottoms out is important. Once again, a value investor—everyone has experienced the feeling of being trapped in a short-term position. If this wave really turns around, those who cut losses will feel so heartbroken. But honestly, I still have some doubts about the converging triangle; what if it breaks down and moves lower? How's your position? Are you still holding on, waiting for a reversal?
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LiquiditySurfervip
· 01-12 21:29
Wait a minute, 78% probability? Where does this data come from? Feels a bit虚啊 --- Damn, it's E wave again. Every time they say it's stuck at a关键位置, but it still drops down --- People who watch the chart for three days, I usually believe half of what they say --- Double correction pattern, right? I bet five cents this is another fake breakout --- Something's off, which means there's a戏 --- Historical data over three years shows a 78% success rate? If that's the case, I could also say a 100% success rate --- Converging triangle, I understand, but I just don't get why it always fails to突破 --- Main force is indeed trapped, haha, but I haven't seen this pattern before --- Rather than calling it an opportunity, I think it's more like the最后挣扎 before getting trapped --- Alright, I'll just hold on死扛, anyway I'm already trapped
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BlockchainArchaeologistvip
· 01-12 21:28
Hmm, a 78% chance sounds good, but I'm more concerned about how high this can go this time. Here comes the W-X-Y explanation again, always saying there's a chance, but what’s the result? Honestly, I’m a bit nervous, worried that you might have missed those 20+ percent. I've heard about triangle breakouts too many times, and in the end, it just consolidates sideways for a month. If you don't trust these technical indicators, then just bet on the main players accumulating.
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