Will prediction markets really be a flash in the pan? Many people compare them to the "24-hour trending market" to suggest they have a short lifespan, but this judgment may be overly pessimistic. As long as significant events continue to occur in reality, the demand for event-based trading will never disappear — this is the fundamental logic behind the survival of prediction markets. From this perspective, professional prediction platforms like Polymarket are likely to exist long-term. After all, every day there are countless events worth betting on, from political elections and sports competitions to economic data. Instead of worrying about the market's demise, it's better to observe how they find a balance between regulation and innovation.