January 09, 2026 BTC Contract Key Technical Levels

The market has just experienced a precise test and rebound of the key bullish defense line. Focus on “confirming key support and then going long” and “battling the rebound resistance levels.”
Bull-bear dividing line / trend lifeline: 90,450.7 USDT (validated support yesterday, the last line of defense for bulls; as long as it holds, the trend remains bullish).

Upper resistance levels (rebound targets / potential resistance):
P3: 94,739.7 (previous high, strong resistance)
P2: 92,000.0 (key psychological level and concentrated chip area)
P1: 91,600.0 (recent rebound high near 91,673.7, first technical resistance)

Lower support levels (long entry zones):
S1: 90,450.7 (validated golden long position, value area for re-test)
S2: 89,200.0 (above 24-hour low of 89,195.6, secondary support in extreme cases)
S3: 87,900.0 (previous platform support; if broken, medium-term structure weakens)

Probability trading discipline:
1. The above levels are technical estimations, not exact points; orders can be placed with a buffer of 100~150 points around these levels.
2. Today's stop-loss distance: 1100 points (take-profit distance; beginners can set at 1:1, experienced traders should execute and reduce positions by 50%-75% before moving to break-even to protect capital).
3. Max two preset trades per day (long and short setups).
4. If daily cumulative loss reaches 10% of capital, forcibly shut down for rest.

Core trading logic:
• From a larger cycle perspective, the long-term structure remains a large oscillation in an upward trend, with significant volatility. The weekly chart is testing key levels, direction is unclear, but the overall bullish pattern remains intact.
• From a medium cycle perspective, after hitting the previous high of 94,739.7 and then retracing, yesterday’s candle’s lower shadow precisely tested and stabilized the key support at 90,450.7, then closed with a bullish pattern. This confirms the validity of 90,450.7 as the trend lifeline for bulls. The structure is defined as the end of a correction after the main upward wave, with the trend expected to restart.
• From a short cycle perspective, current price at 89,195.6 (24-hour low) received strong buying support, forming a “pin bar bottom” and quickly bouncing back. This is a classic bullish signal of “testing support with a lower shadow + quick recovery.” The 4-hour structure has shifted to consolidation and bottoming, leaning towards upward movement.

Probability trading conclusion:
The market confirmed the support’s validity with a long lower shadow. The high-probability strategy is: primarily go long, cautiously attempt short positions. Main strategy: wait for the price to retest support S1(90,450.7 for long entries, or lightly trade the rebound near the current price. Secondary strategy: if the price rebounds to resistance P1)91,600(stalls, try small short positions for a pullback. All operations must strictly include stop-loss, avoid overconfidence, and set fixed risk levels. Use a consistent 1:1 risk-reward ratio, allowing the market’s inertia to reward you. By consistently executing this simple, repetitive system, you will achieve stable profits.

This analysis is based on publicly available market information and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; please be aware of market risks. Readers should conduct rational analysis, make cautious decisions, and bear their own risks.