January 8, 2026 BTC Contract Key Technical Levels

The current market is at a critical retracement and support test zone resulting from multi-cycle resonance. Focus on "key support level battles" and "trendline defense" actions, ensuring stable upward movement of the capital curve with strict discipline. Do not chase highs or sell lows! Set proper stop-losses when opening positions.
Bull-Bear Dividing Line: 90,450.7 USDT (previous upper boundary of the range, starting point of the upward structure. This is the critical threshold that determines the nature of the retracement; if not broken, the trend remains; if broken, deep correction occurs).

Resistance levels above (rebound targets/potential short zones):
P3: 94,739.7 (previous high, strong resistance)
P2: 93,000.0 (recent small platform resistance)
P1: 92,000.0 (psychological barrier and initial rebound resistance)

Support levels below (long entry zones/bullish defense lines):
S1: 90,450.7 (core long position/support/dividing line, high-probability battle point)
S2: 89,000.0 (daily Fibonacci deep retracement level and platform support)
S3: 87,717.9 (previous strong support on 4-hour chart; if broken, mid-term upward structure faces challenges)

Probability Trading Discipline:
1. The above levels are technical estimations, not exact points; orders can be placed with a fluctuation of 100-150 points around these levels.
2. Today's stop-loss distance: 1100 points (take-profit distance; beginners can set at 1:1, experienced traders should execute and reduce positions by 50%-75% before moving to breakeven to protect capital).
3. Max two preset trades per day (long and short setups).
4. If daily loss reaches 10% of capital, mandatory shutdown and rest.

Core Trading Logic:
• From a higher timeframe perspective, the price remains in a clear upward channel. Despite high volatility, the rebound from long-term lows indicates a secondary correction within a long-term uptrend. 100,000 is a key psychological level but not the current focus.
• From a medium timeframe, after hitting the 94,739.7 high and then falling back, the daily candle closes bearish. This is the first correction after a major upward wave, testing the short-term upward trendline support. 90,450.7 (previous range upper boundary) is critical for judging the depth of the correction.
• From a short-term perspective, the current price has broken below the short-term upward channel's lower boundary and is testing the 90,450.7 support level. This is a position bulls must defend. If it stabilizes here, it indicates a healthy retracement of the 86,244.8-94,739.7 rally (near the 38.2%-50% retracement). If broken, the deep correction risk increases.

Probability Trading Conclusion:
The market is at the end of the first retracement in the daily uptrend. The high-probability strategy now is to abandon chasing shorts and focus on rebound opportunities at key support levels. Strategy 1: Near the core support S1(90,450.7), wait for stabilization signals before entering long positions, betting on trend continuation. Strategy 2: If rebounding to resistance P1(92,000) encounters resistance, try light short positions to bet on a correction. All operations must strictly include stop-losses, with a primary focus on long positions at support levels. Avoid overthinking; set fixed risk parameters. Use a consistent 1:1 risk-reward ratio, allowing market inertia to reward patience. By consistently executing this simple, repetitive system, you will achieve stable profits.

This analysis is based on publicly available market information and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; be aware of market fluctuation risks. Readers must conduct rational analysis, make cautious decisions, and bear their own risks.