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Bosses, once again, a stable investment game has been found on Polymarket, settled on Friday.
This market predicts the total number of layoffs by the US federal government in 2025.
Currently, the probability of more than 200,000 layoffs is at 98%.
The latest employment figures released by the US Department of Labor on Friday will settle the market.
Why is 200,000 layoffs considered stable?
Because based on existing data, over 270,000 people have already been laid off in 2025.
Only the December 2025 data has not been published yet,
but it is unlikely to reverse this trend.
I observed that this market still has room for two or three thousand dollars.
However, it can also be a lottery play,
betting on US employment growth in December 2025,
to reduce the number of layoffs in 2025 to 150,000-200,000.