Crypto's Big Bull Meaning: How The Four-Year Cycle Still Shapes Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoin Trajectories

Understanding what “big bull meaning” represents in crypto requires looking at the cyclical nature of digital assets—and the data shows we’re still very much inside a critical four-year cycle that will determine the next major breakout. Let’s decode what’s happening with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader altcoin market.

The Timeline That Matters More Than Price

According to Gann theory, timing beats positioning every time. The crypto market has several crucial windows ahead:

• September 5-11, 2025 and the September 15, 2025 inflection point
• October 2025 through November-December 2025 consolidation period
• September or December 2026 major inflection
• November-December 2028-2030 long-term cycle completion

These dates aren’t arbitrary—they mark where Elliott wave patterns converge with historical cycle data.

Bitcoin: Inside the Supercycle 3 Decline

Bitcoin (currently trading at $87.47K, down 0.61% in 24 hours) remains within the Supercycle 3-4-Z wave decline. The boundaries that once seemed clear have blurred as Bitcoin integrated into traditional markets, but the pattern holds.

After this decline phase completes, we enter Supercycle 3-5, which represents the actual inflationary pressure wave. This wave’s true bottom could start forming between September 5-11, 2025, but the real explosion is timed for around September 15, 2025, driven by interest rate cut speculation.

Here’s the projection:

• Supercycle 3-5 target: Ideally completes November-December 2025 at the earliest after October
• Supercycle 4 wave decline: Expected to test 74,500 by September or December 2026, with potential extremes between 55,700-66,700
• Supercycle 5 wave: The final bull phase, targeting November-December 2028-2030 at the 19-22.5W range

Ethereum: The Small Bull Rebirth Story

Ethereum (currently at $2.93K, down 0.94% in 24 hours) is experiencing a more complex multi-wave pattern within Supercycle 1-4.

Near-term structure: The Supercycle 1-4-XX-A wave has completed its internal 5-wave substructure. Current resistance sits at the monthly Bollinger band (4,280-4,320), with potential extremes reaching 4,484-4,817, but the ceiling holds at 5,183.

The bigger picture: We’re either at the end of wave A or the beginning of wave B in the Supercycle 1-4-XX pattern. Here’s what happens next:

• Wave A targets: 4,071-4,100 (largely achieved) or the upper Bollinger band around 4,280-4,320
• Wave B downside: Tests 2,400-2,500-2,900-3,000
• Wave C explosion: The real bottom could start September 5-11, 2025, with massive upside around September 15. Wave C targets 4,850-5,000-5,540-6,000 (400% of base), ideally completing November-December 2025
• Supercycle 1-4-Z decline: After wave C ends, expect 2,200-2,780-2,850-3,000 by September or December 2026
• Supercycle 1-5 bull market: The final wave, targeting 6,000-8,000-9,000 for November-December 2028-2030

Altcoins: Not All Created Equal—Here’s Where It Gets Real

This is where understanding “big bull meaning” becomes critical. A big bull isn’t just any price pump—it’s a sustained cycle where fundamental cycles align. Altcoins aren’t riding on Bitcoin and Ethereum strength alone; they follow their own patterns.

The Three-Chart System for Altcoin Analysis:

Top-50 Market Cap Assets: Currently bear market territory since March 2024. April-August showed the first small bull (but not a driving wave, so decline followed). September-October will bring the second micro-bull with no new lows expected. The real bear-to-bull transition begins January-March 2026, with bottom formation by December 2025 or January-March 2026. The critical second low arrives September-December 2026—this marks the real bull start.

50-100 Market Cap Assets: Following the same pattern as top-50, but with slightly worse upside performance during small bulls. Better value lies with top-50 holdings during bear-market rallies if you’re unsure of selection.

100+ Market Cap (Microcaps): This is the brutal part. These assets never saw a real 2024 bull, only the painful decline from end-2021. Still trapped in the same bear market. Even September-October’s second micro-bull shows most hitting new lows. True bottom arrives September-December 2026. The performance gap is massive—microcaps rise much less during small bulls and fall harder during declines. High-risk, high-uncertainty play.

The Strategic Allocation Framework

The cycle reveals clear positioning rules:

September-October 2025 / December 2025-March 2026: If confidence is low, stick with top-50 market cap assets first, then top-100, avoid anything beyond 100th position. Uncertainty remains too high.

September-December 2026: This marks the genuine bottom-building phase for the bear-to-bull transition. Allocate across Bull Demon King assets, secondary assets in top-50, top-100, and selective microcaps—striving for compounding gains on solid foundations.

Final Perspective: Time Beats Timing

The four-year cycle remains alive. September 2025 is not just another date—it’s the convergence point of multiple analytical frameworks. Whether you’re watching Bitcoin at $87.47K or Ethereum at $2.93K, remember that Gann theory prioritizes time over positioning.

The small bulls coming in the next 12 months aren’t the real bull market—they’re the final wash cycles before the actual breakout. Those who understand this distinction will position differently than those chasing every micro-rally.

The bear-to-bull transition takes months. Patience, selective position quality, and rigid adherence to the cycle matter more than being perfectly right on every trade.