Market Inflection Points Ahead: Strategic Planning for Bitcoin's Next Rally to 137000

Macro Headwinds Signal Caution

Recent US Treasury market dynamics paint a concerning picture. Yield inversions—particularly the persistence of problematic spreads—have historically preceded major equity corrections. Coupled with overstated GDP figures and structural breadth deterioration in US stock indices, the backdrop remains fragile. A near-term pullback in equities through late August appears increasingly likely, creating potential volatility spillovers into crypto markets.

Crypto Breakdown: Three Coins in Focus

Bitcoin’s Two-Stage Ascent

Bitcoin is positioned for a measured advance. After consolidating near 121000-122000 for 1-2 trading sessions, expect accelerated upside momentum. The natural target zone on the daily chart sits between 136000-137000, representing the key resistance cluster for this phase.

Ethereum’s Mirror Pattern

Ethereum typically initiates moves from the 2100 level, with this daily chart’s resistance band placed at 4700-4800. Structure suggests a similar consolidation-then-rally dynamic as Bitcoin, though Ethereum faces added complexity if prior highs prove sticky.

Solana’s Relative Weakness

SOL demonstrates softer momentum compared to its larger peers. The measured move from 126 extends to a 218-235 target zone, but weakness in recent action warrants closer monitoring.

Current snapshot (Dec 26): BTC at $87.47K (-0.67%), ETH at $2.93K (-1.00%), SOL at $121.94 (-1.11%)

Tactical Playbook: Four-Part Strategy

Phase 1: Early August Position Building (Through Aug 15-20)

• BTC Long & Call Options: Hold until mid-to-late August with profit target at 136000
• ETH Call Options: Maintain through Aug 15-20, close above 4700
• SOL Long Positions: Ride to 218 exit by mid-month

Phase 2: Intraday Short Opportunity (When BTC Touches 121000-122000)

If Monday’s price action brings Bitcoin to the 121000-122000 zone, a tactical short materializes:

• Entry: 121500
• Stop Loss: 123300
• Target: 119000
• Duration: Intraday maximum; overnight hold acceptable only in exceptional cases
• Note: ETH and SOL excluded from this short setup

Phase 3: Mid-to-Late August Reversal (At 136000-137000 Level)

This zone becomes the pivot point for a long-then-short transition:

• Short entry at 137000 with initial target below 120000 by month-end
• Aggressive buyers re-enter near 117000 (late August), allocating 3% to a 100x Bitcoin long contract
• First profit-taking: 2/3 of new longs at 139000 (mid-September)
• Remaining position targets 155000 by late September

Ethereum & Solana Counter-Trades:

• ETH: Short opportunity around 4750 if unable to break prior highs; stop above historical peak; target 3800
• SOL: Graduated short entries above 220; stop loss at 237; profit target 151.5

Phase 4: Long-Term Positioning (Mid-September Through January 2026)

• Initial short at 138000-139000, stop at 140500, target 82500 (mid-December)
• If stopped out, begin gradual long-term short accumulation from 156000+ levels (late September through October)
• Final downside target: 82500 by mid-January 2026

Bottom Line

The path to 137000 represents a natural waypoint in Bitcoin’s current structure. However, this level doubles as the inflection point where early longs book profits and fresh short positioning begins. Patience during consolidation periods, discipline on stop placements, and staged position management will be essential as these macro crosscurrents intensify through August and beyond.