Altseason 2026 Could Explode? The Market Divided Between Hope and Doubt

The dual outlook on the future of the altcoin market is becoming increasingly clear. While some traders believe that the bull cycle has ended ( pointing to Bitcoin’s peak of $126,000 in October 2025 ), other experts are expecting a strong upcoming altseason wave in 2026.

Why There Might Be No Altseason in 2025?

Some cautious analysts argue that the lack of an altcoin boom in 2025 is a sign of a cooling market cycle. They believe that the peak of Bitcoin in October signals the end of the bullish phase. This view reflects concerns about the ability to find new technology and the performance of altcoins in a saturated market.

The 5-Year Cycle and the Potential for Altcoin Recovery

Conversely, Raoul Pal and a group of optimistic analysts believe we are in a super-long cycle lasting 5 years, with a peak expected in 2026. They anticipate that altseason will begin in Q1 and Q2 of next year, with significant growth potential for alternative coins. This argument is based on historical cycle models and changes in market dynamics.

Supporting Signals for an Optimistic Outlook

Macroeconomic indicators are creating favorable conditions for an explosive altseason. Easing inflation trends provide room for monetary policy loosening, which often drives capital into higher-risk assets like altcoins. Additionally, technical signals indicate solid support levels, laying the groundwork for a market recovery in the coming months.

Currently, BTC is at $87.37K, indicating that the market is still in a correction phase. The debate between the two analysis groups will continue until an actual altseason begins or does not appear in 2026.