How will the USDT/CNY exchange rate trend throughout 2026?
On December 25, 2025, the offshore RMB to USD exchange rate officially broke through the 7.0 mark, reaching a new high since late September 2024. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts: The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to continue cutting rates in 2026, which will lead to a structural weakening of the US dollar index and thus push down the USDT to RMB price. US-China interest rate differential narrowing: As the US interest rate cut path is steeper than China's, the US-China interest rate differential is expected to further narrow, reducing the pressure on RMB depreciation. USDT premium situation: If a bull market occurs in the crypto market in 2026, USDT may have a positive premium (i.e., the actual purchase price is slightly higher than the official exchange rate). In a bear market like now, it is a negative premium. Preliminary forecast indicates oscillation and accumulation in the first half of the year, with repeated fluctuations around the 7.0 level. In the second half of the year, the RMB against the USD may shift to the 6.6-6.8 range. C2C, you can find me to buy U, follow me.
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How will the USDT/CNY exchange rate trend throughout 2026?
On December 25, 2025, the offshore RMB to USD exchange rate officially broke through the 7.0 mark, reaching a new high since late September 2024.
Federal Reserve interest rate cuts: The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to continue cutting rates in 2026, which will lead to a structural weakening of the US dollar index and thus push down the USDT to RMB price.
US-China interest rate differential narrowing: As the US interest rate cut path is steeper than China's, the US-China interest rate differential is expected to further narrow, reducing the pressure on RMB depreciation.
USDT premium situation: If a bull market occurs in the crypto market in 2026, USDT may have a positive premium (i.e., the actual purchase price is slightly higher than the official exchange rate). In a bear market like now, it is a negative premium.
Preliminary forecast indicates oscillation and accumulation in the first half of the year, with repeated fluctuations around the 7.0 level. In the second half of the year, the RMB against the USD may shift to the 6.6-6.8 range.
C2C, you can find me to buy U, follow me.