2025-12-25 05:10:47

#数字资产市场动态 Listen to what trader James Wynn has to say—Will BTC rebound 10%? I happen to be pondering this very issue.

First, let's look at the real signals on the chain. Whales (those holding more than 1K BTC) have increased their holdings by 15% this week, and the BTC balance on exchanges has fallen to the lowest level of the year, indicating that selling pressure has significantly eased. Network activity is soaring, and hash rate is steadily rising. All these signs point to one conclusion: long-term holders are gradually accumulating.

On the technical side? The 50-week moving average is hovering around 65K, and historical data shows that at this level, the probability of a rebound exceeds 80%. In other words, this is a support level that is very difficult to break.

Now, let's look at Wynn's recent changes. He previously claimed "doubling in 60 days," but now he's converged to "rebound 10%," which actually seems more rational. Why? Because capital is rotating—from stocks, real estate, and precious metals at all-time highs outflows are happening, and after BTC dropped 35%, its value proposition has indeed re-emerged. His use of 40x leverage to go long is also sending signals: short-term volatility is inevitable, but bullish momentum remains strong.

What’s my conclusion? On-chain accumulation + technical support + capital rotation—these three factors resonate together. BTC is likely to rebound at least 10% within the next 1-2 weeks, with the target being a retest of that 50-week moving average. Wynn’s prediction isn’t baseless; it’s a data-supported judgment.

Of course, leverage must be approached with caution—high volatility can appear at any time. But I’ve already increased my spot positions, just waiting for the market to validate this logic. The market never lies; if the logic is sound, it will naturally play out.

BTC1.38%

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AllInAlice

· 10h ago

Whales are accumulating, while exchanges are clearing out. This signal does seem to carry some weight. I'm also waiting for this rebound, but that guy with 40x leverage is really daring. --- 80% probability sounds great, but I only traded spot. I'm scared of leverage. --- He used to boast about doubling, now he's talking about a steady 10% increase. I believe he's really becoming cautious, but in the crypto world, no one has experienced this enough to be sure. --- On-chain data is definitely telling a story, but the question is whether the story and the market will stay in sync. Anyway, I've already positioned myself, waiting for validation. --- The 50-week moving average is a hurdle. It has been broken quite a few times in history. Don't be blinded by the 80%. But adding to spot positions is fine. --- I can understand the logic of capital rotation, but when it will hit BTC is really hard to say. We can only bet on the timing window.

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GateUser-9f682d4c

· 10h ago

Whales are starting to accumulate coins again, and this signal is quite solid. I also believe in this rebound. Wynn has recovered from doubling to 10%, this guy has indeed learned to be smart. Now this prediction is more reliable. On-chain data doesn't lie. Just increase your spot holdings and wait, don't mess with leverage. If the 65K line can't be broken, I'll just average down. Anyway, long-term holding will definitely recover. Capital rotation is real, moving from stocks and real estate into the crypto space. The cost-performance ratio has reappeared this time. This logical loop is pretty good, but we still need to guard against sudden risks. Volatility can come at any time. The 50-week moving average is an iron gate. Historical data all support this judgment, there's nothing to doubt. Hash rate is steadily rising, network activity is soaring. These underlying signals never lie. Opening long with 40x leverage? Brother, your courage is really big. I only dare to accumulate slowly with spot. The exchange's BTC balance is at its lowest this year. Selling pressure has really eased. Now it's our turn to buy the dip.

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RetroHodler91

· 10h ago

Whales are accumulating, and the exchange BTC has fallen to its yearly low, which is indeed significant. I am also waiting for this rebound, and I have already added to my spot holdings. --- Wynn changed from doubling to a 10% rebound, this guy has become much more rational. I agree with the logic of capital rotation. --- 50-week moving average has an 80% rebound probability? The data sounds quite comfortable, but volatility can come at any time, so it's better to be cautious with leverage. --- On-chain signals + technical analysis + capital rotation all align, this set of logic is indeed solid. It all depends on how the market plays out. --- Seeing him open long with 40x leverage makes me a bit nervous; such a play can be wiped out by a lightning-fast drop. It's safer to stick with spot. --- Exchange balances hitting a yearly low, now that's a real signal. The most useful indicator of all. --- Is the 65K line really that strong? How is the historical data calculated? Different sources seem to have different opinions. --- Adding to spot holdings while waiting for confirmation, I approve of this approach. The risks of leverage are indeed not worth risking for a 10% gain.

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quietly_staking

· 10h ago

Whales' recent accumulation stance is indeed different; an 80% rebound probability might be a bit conservative. --- Leverage of 40x to go long... Wynn still hasn't changed his nature; spot trading is much more enjoyable. --- I trust on-chain signals, but I'm just worried that capital rotation might cause a sudden turn. --- Is the 65K line really that strong? Reminds me of the last time it was broken through and the disastrous scene. --- Adding to spot holdings is the right move; leverage stuff, I just can't figure it out in my lifetime. --- Triple resonance... sounds intimidating, but the data is right here, definitely worth a gamble. --- Wynn changed from doubling to a 10% rebound; this shift is interesting. If I hadn't seen whales buying, I might not believe it. --- The phrase "the market never lies" is true, but we also need to be careful not to deceive ourselves. --- After a 35% drop, it’s really cheap now. I'm torn whether to follow the trend and add more. --- The lowest exchange balance this year; this signal does seem to have some substance.

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WalletDetective

· 10h ago

Whales increasing their holdings by 15% is really attractive, indicating that big players are still optimistic. I'm also waiting for that rebound window. --- 40x leverage? Bro, your guts are really impressive. I think I'll just play it safe and hold my positions. --- If the 65K level truly can't be broken, then a rebound is indeed likely. The historical probability is there. --- Wynn changed from "doubling" to "rebounding 10%", this shift is quite intriguing, it seems they're also adjusting expectations. --- On-chain accumulation signals are hard data, unlike those empty predictions. I believe in this. --- The current cost-performance ratio is much better than the past two months, but we still need to see if any new black swans appear. --- The idea of triple resonance sounds good, but don’t let your guard down against volatility risks. --- I also added some spot positions. Anyway, I’m long-term bullish, and short-term fluctuations can be seen as normal market reactions. --- I've seen support levels broken before, and failed rebounds have happened too. Be prepared for both scenarios. --- If the 50-week moving average truly stabilizes, then the real rebound might just be beginning.

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