2025-12-25 01:26:52

A while ago, I saw someone online make a prediction about Bitcoin's market in 2025. At the time, it was more of a joke. Surprisingly, several of this person's key predictions actually came true one after another, with quite a high accuracy, which is really a bit unbelievable.

The entire crypto market has changed so rapidly in the past two years, with such large fluctuations, that accurate big-picture predictions are indeed rare. From the market sentiment at the beginning of the year to the actual trend later on, some of the predictions really hit the mark. Whether it's luck or genuine skill, cases like these have sparked quite a bit of discussion.

This also reflects a phenomenon: in the uncertain environment of the crypto market, everyone wants to find that accurate forecast line. But honestly, the market is always more complex than we imagine. Every time we see these "divine predictions," there's always someone half-seriously and half-jokingly lamenting—does the world still have any规律可循?

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ForkPrince

· 16h ago

Ha, another one of these "divine predictions"? I think nine out of ten predictions are just guesses; if one of them happens to be right, they become a master. Luck plays a big role, now everyone dares to act as a prophet. Who can truly understand this market? I would go all-in with my entire position.

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BearMarketHustler

· 16h ago

Lucky, next time there's a crash, no one will remember. If I had known it was so accurate, I would have gone all in. Now it's awkward, haha. Basically, it's survivor bias; no one digs up the failed predictions. I can make predictions like this too; anyway, someone will always relate to them. It seems that Bitcoin itself has patterns; it's just a matter of who can buy the dip or sell at the top first. Those who really make money never make predictions; they are quietly laying out their plans. Haha, I just want to know if this guy dares to make another prediction. Instead of looking for patterns, it's better to study the moves of the main players—that's the real key. This kind of "divine prediction" is mostly armchair strategizing; truly useful predictions have already been locked in by institutions.

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AirdropFreedom

· 16h ago

Luck plays too big a role. If I could predict stably, I would have been financially free long ago. --- Uh... people say they get it right a few times every year, then blow it up as if they are prediction masters. I'm a bit tired of that. --- The key is whether that guy dares to bet real money. Anyone can just talk about it. --- Bitcoin is just a game of probability. Hitting a few times doesn't mean you truly understand the market. --- If you say it nicely, it’s a correct prediction; if you say it harshly, it’s luck. Don’t overhype it. --- I just want to know where his previous failed predictions went. People only remember the few times he was right. --- Market rules? Ha, if there were rules, it wouldn’t be called crypto. --- Isn’t this just survivor bias? I bet on a hundred predictions, at least two will be correct. --- Instead of looking at predictions, it’s better to look at on-chain data. That’s the real performance of real money.

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PerennialLeek

· 16h ago

Damn, could this guy be using some kind of cheat? Can luck be this good? It's a bit spooky. Basically, it's just survivor bias; no one remembers failed predictions. If someone could predict stably, they'd have been a billionaire long ago and wouldn't be here eating popcorn. The market has never been human-friendly; the more you try to catch the bottom, the more you're hammered down. These so-called "accurate" predictions, nine out of ten are armchair generals after the fact, just blowing smoke. The market is so complex, who dares to say they truly see it clearly? I just want to know if this guy's next predictions will be accurate or not. Did he bet?

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MetaMaximalist

· 16h ago

honestly? survivor bias is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. one guy calls enough shots and suddenly he's nostradamus... we've literally got thousands of failed predictions rotting in discord archives nobody talks about lmao

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