#比特币与黄金战争 December 25th, Thursday Bitcoin Market Technical Brief



Looking at the four-hour chart, the price has been running below the moving averages for a long time. Although the MACD green bars have narrowed, it has not yet exited the bearish zone, which is a typical sign of a downtrend continuation. The three lines of the KDJ indicator do show signs of turning, but have not yet broken through the 50 midline, so the rebound strength can only be considered a technical correction after an oversold condition.

From the overall rhythm, the probability of a breakdown and downward movement after oscillation at low levels is higher.

My personal approach is as follows—just for reference, risk is self-managed (be sure to set stop-loss orders):

$BTC around 88,300 can be seen as resistance, a rebound to 89,300 can moderately cover short positions, with key support below at 87,000. If it continues to fall, 85,500 is an important support level.

As always, controlling risk exposure is the most important.
BTC0.61%
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digital_archaeologistvip
· 8h ago
It's another downtrend continuation. How familiar this routine is—rebound at 88,300 and then sell off. Does anyone still dare to buy in? Honestly, it's just waiting to break 87,000; everything else is noise.
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CryptoNomicsvip
· 9h ago
actually your MACD analysis completely ignores the stochastic volatility component. the probability distribution you're implying doesn't hold up under cross-chain correlation matrices tbh
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TokenEconomistvip
· 9h ago
actually, let me break this down—the MACD analysis here assumes mean reversion within a static timeframe, but ceteris paribus, you're missing the macro liquidity variable that typically precedes these "continuation patterns"
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OnChainDetectivevip
· 9h ago
I've had my eye on that 88,300 resistance point for a while. Large on-chain transfers have been especially frequent these past few days, feeling like someone is quietly accumulating... MACD hasn't even broken into the bearish zone and you're already thinking of a rebound? Dream on. This is a classic manipulation tactic to lure in buyers.
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