The probability that the Fed will maintain the interest rate unchanged in January next year is 80.1%.


According to Jinse Finance, based on CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 19.9%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 80.1%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 44.7%, with a 47.1% probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 8.2%.
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