2025-12-20 22:22:41

Capital typically takes 1 to 3 months to rotate into higher-risk assets like crypto, and this timeline suggests we're approaching a critical inflection point in the market cycle.

Here's how I see it playing out: either Bitcoin closes the year strong and bullish—setting up a reversal into a major bear market through 2026—or we finish December below the yearly open, which would extend the downside pressure into next year.

Two scenarios, same question: which dominates? The December close will be telling. Watch the BTC yearly levels closely.

BTC0.12%

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OnChain_Detective

· 23h ago

ngl, that 1-3 month lag is suspicious... pattern analysis suggests we're literally at the inflection point rn. not financial advice but the december close is basically a coin flip between moon or doom scenario, and tbh statistically speaking? wallet clustering shows big money still hesitating. flagged transactions incoming fr fr.

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0xInsomnia

· 23h ago

1 to 3 months... Sounds nice, but isn't it just the schedule for the whales to harvest the retail investors? --- December closing determines life or death, it seems like the "this month is crucial" routine again. --- Wait, is the delay in capital flow into crypto really that long? Is it a bit late to jump in now? --- Both endings aren't very optimistic—either eat noodles or drink northwest wind. --- Closely monitor BTC's annual level... I just want to know how many people still dare to take the plunge. --- Sounds just like the real thing, but it's actually just betting on this December's candlestick. --- 1 to 3 months' time difference, is this paving the red carpet for the big players? --- Strong finish or continued decline? Can't you just tell me which one is definitely going to happen since you're mentioning it? --- It's both closely watching and a critical moment, seems like all the headlines have been used up. --- So should I buy now or run away? Can't you make it less complicated?

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StablecoinGuardian

· 23h ago

December closing is really a watershed... Either surge at the end of the month, or keep falling all the way into next year, with no middle ground feeling.

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ChainSherlockGirl

· 23h ago

Talking about a 1 to 3 month cycle, the December BTC closing price is the life and death line... Honestly, it still depends on how the big wallet addresses move. Either surge or drop, anyway, those are the only two scenarios, it all depends on who has more chips. A reversal before 2026? That's a bit too far ahead, let's see how December turns out first. According to on-chain data, we're just waiting for that signal, whether it's the prelude to a rally or the night before a plunge. To be honest, it feels a bit like gambling, but December is indeed critical, I agree.

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SocialAnxietyStaker

· 12-20 22:30

A time difference of one to three months sounds very critical... It feels like December will really determine life or death. --- If BTC can't rally by the end of the year, then next year we'll probably be eating dirt. --- Wait, so should I get in now or wait and see... This question is a bit absolute. --- Damn, both extreme scenarios point to the same issue; this situation is indeed tense. --- Just pay close attention to nothing, go all in or all out directly, why bother being so indecisive? --- A 1-3 month cycle... So now is the critical point, no wonder things have been so turbulent lately. --- Is the December closing price going to determine life or death? Should I buy the dip now or clear my positions? --- The turning point has already been discussed to this extent; even if you don't believe it, you have to believe it. --- Both scenarios sound like fifty-fifty, no one can predict for sure haha. --- If the annual level is so important, why does it seem like most people are still sleepwalking?

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