The central bank's policies are changing again. But this time, the signals coming out are a bit different.
The world is watching when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, but the Bank of Japan dropped a bombshell yesterday — for the sixth consecutive time, choosing to hold steady. While others are cutting rates, it stubbornly stays on the other side.
How strong is the market reaction? Bitcoin plummeted from 90,350 straight down, briefly breaking below 85,000, with a daily volatility of over 5,000 points. This is not a coincidence but a market expressing its anxiety in price language: the Fed wants to loosen liquidity, while the Bank of Japan is stepping on the brakes. The divergence in policies between the two major central banks is very clear.
**Japan's Dilemma**
Frankly, the Bank of Japan is now caught in the middle. On the surface, it’s holding steady, but internally, there have long been voices advocating for rate hikes. The problem is that the economic situation is too complex — overseas uncertainties make them hesitant to act too quickly, but domestic debt remains a huge pit they can't ignore.
Looking back, they just ended an 8-year era of negative interest rates in March 2024, and by July, they raised rates once more. Then, nothing happened afterward — they’ve been pausing continuously until now. This internal tug-of-war is directly reflected in market sentiment — everyone knows Japan will eventually normalize its monetary policy, but when and how remains uncertain.
**The Quiet Rewrite of Liquidity Rules**
This is the key. Central bank policies are no longer aligned in a single direction but are increasingly diverging. What does this mean for the crypto market? It suggests that the era of flood-like liquidity may truly be over. Previously, central banks moved in unison, making liquidity predictable. Now, different central banks are doing their own thing, and investors need to learn how to find opportunities amid this uncertainty.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
7 Likes
Reward
7
2
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
CoffeeNFTrader
· 12-19 16:27
Central banks are doing their own thing, this wave is really hard to predict.
---
Bitcoin's plunge, the Japanese Central Bank's move is really clever.
---
The era of flooding liquidity is over, now it depends on who can raise interest rates last.
---
The divergence among different central banks is so serious that retail investors are completely confused.
---
I understand the feeling of the Japanese Central Bank being caught in the middle, but crypto enthusiasts don't understand.
---
The rules of the liquidity game have changed, we need to relearn how to play.
---
A 5000-point fluctuation, this wave is the price of the central bank policy clash.
---
In the past, everyone knew that when the central bank cut interest rates, it meant good times; now? Who knows.
---
Japan is standing firmly on the other side, that courage is truly remarkable.
---
Find opportunities in uncertainty; it's easy to say but makes your legs weak when actually doing it.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-a606bf0c
· 12-19 16:25
The Bank of Japan's recent moves are really disappointing. The era of flooding the market with liquidity is over; we need to learn to find our own way now.
The central bank's policies are changing again. But this time, the signals coming out are a bit different.
The world is watching when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, but the Bank of Japan dropped a bombshell yesterday — for the sixth consecutive time, choosing to hold steady. While others are cutting rates, it stubbornly stays on the other side.
How strong is the market reaction? Bitcoin plummeted from 90,350 straight down, briefly breaking below 85,000, with a daily volatility of over 5,000 points. This is not a coincidence but a market expressing its anxiety in price language: the Fed wants to loosen liquidity, while the Bank of Japan is stepping on the brakes. The divergence in policies between the two major central banks is very clear.
**Japan's Dilemma**
Frankly, the Bank of Japan is now caught in the middle. On the surface, it’s holding steady, but internally, there have long been voices advocating for rate hikes. The problem is that the economic situation is too complex — overseas uncertainties make them hesitant to act too quickly, but domestic debt remains a huge pit they can't ignore.
Looking back, they just ended an 8-year era of negative interest rates in March 2024, and by July, they raised rates once more. Then, nothing happened afterward — they’ve been pausing continuously until now. This internal tug-of-war is directly reflected in market sentiment — everyone knows Japan will eventually normalize its monetary policy, but when and how remains uncertain.
**The Quiet Rewrite of Liquidity Rules**
This is the key. Central bank policies are no longer aligned in a single direction but are increasingly diverging. What does this mean for the crypto market? It suggests that the era of flood-like liquidity may truly be over. Previously, central banks moved in unison, making liquidity predictable. Now, different central banks are doing their own thing, and investors need to learn how to find opportunities amid this uncertainty.