ETH硬卡套3155! Technical indicators suggest the next move is to break 3000 or rebound to 3160?

Warning for Large Account Holders in Deep Traps

Recently, ETH has exhibited a typical case: a seasoned investor used 25x leverage to hold a long position, continuously adding to the position as ETH dropped from 3500 to 3155, ultimately accumulating a position worth 24.6 million. The liquidation price was set at 3047, and the current price is oscillating around 3155. This “hard trap” situation means that any slight decline could trigger liquidation. This lesson is worth deep reflection for all contract traders—leverage amplifies not only gains but also risks.

Two Key Technical Levels

From the 1-hour K-line chart, ETH is currently oscillating near the resistance level of 3160. The first major resistance above is 3350, which requires significant volume to break through; downward, 3155 is a short-term support. If broken, it points directly to the “critical position” at 3080, and further breakdown could lead to a psychological bottom at 3000.

The most noteworthy indicator is MACD: the yellow-white line forms a golden cross below the zero line, which is often interpreted as a rebound signal. But the key point is—golden cross below zero often represents a “false rebound” within a downtrend, not a genuine trend reversal. This indicates that the current rebound momentum is limited, and the risk of further breakdown remains.

Three Levels of Trading Strategy

In the short term, the 3155-3160 range is a critical point for a rebound. If volume cannot push through 3160, it may trigger a trap for long positions, with a higher probability of falling back to the 3080-3000 range.

Within the “golden pit” zone of 3080-3000, small positions can be used to test long opportunities, but stop-losses below 3000 must be set to protect capital.

If it breaks below 3000, decisive exit is necessary to avoid further losses.

Risk Reminder for Traders

According to the latest data, ETH is currently around $2.96K, with a 24-hour change of +1.24%. Regardless of the direction of movement, retail traders should remember: the deep traps of large accounts often become market turning points, but following the trend carries extremely high risk. Individual capital is usually only a few tens of thousands to a few hundred thousand, and trying to emulate large traders’ aggressive strategies is akin to using leverage to bet on market direction—this often results in total loss of capital.

Tonight, ETH’s movement will either test 3000 or fall back to around 3160; there is no gentle third way. In such uncertainty, the most important thing is risk control and capital preservation.