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Crypto Market Analysis: An In-Depth Look at BTC, ETH, Dominance, and Total Market Capitalization
Hello Gate Square community! long-time active investor in the crypto markets, and today I wanted to share a market analysis focused on BTC, ETH, OTHERS dominance (altcoin dominance), and TOTAL2 (total altcoin market capitalization). In this analysis, I will thoroughly cover support/resistance levels, chart patterns, and my overall market expectations based on weekly and daily timeframes. All charts are prepared on TradingView, and my commentary reflects real-time market conditions (date: December 16, 2025). My goal is to add value for investors, from short-term trading opportunities to long-term trends. Let’s get started!
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1. Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis
As the locomotive of the crypto market, BTC is always our main focus. When we examine the weekly and daily charts, we receive mixed signals—however, an overall correction phase is clearly visible.
Weekly Chart (Long-Term Perspective):
A clear descending channel formation dominates the chart (marked with white dashed lines). Price was rejected from the upper band at 116,274.5 and is currently trading just below the EMA at 95,872.9. Major support levels are 93,057.4 (critical Fibonacci level), 86,244.7 (main BTCUSDT support), 78,709.2, and 74,159.8. If this channel breaks to the downside, the psychological 70,000.0 level could be tested—which would signal a bear market. Resistance levels are 101,926.3, 110,795.3, and the channel top at 116,274.5. In terms of formation, there is a compression similar to a falling wedge; combined with declining volume, this suggests breakout potential. In the long run, a breakout above 116k could open the door to a rally toward 130,000.0. However, with a current daily change of -0.37%, I expect consolidation in the near term.
Daily Chart (Short-Term Perspective):
Here, the picture is more optimistic: the ascending trendline (orange) is supported by the EMA at 97,302.0. Price has corrected from the recent high of 116,274.5 and managed to hold at 93,057.4. Support levels are 98,025.9 (intermediate support), 86,244.7, and 78,709.2. Resistance levels are 101,926.3, 110,795.3, and 116,274.5. As for formations, there is potential for an inverse head and shoulders, with shoulders forming around the 78k region. I’m closely watching volume breakouts; if we get a close above 101k, I would consider a long position for swing trading. Risk management: I always place my stop-loss 5–7% below entry due to high volatility.
BTC Market Outlook:
In the short term (1–3 weeks), I expect consolidation between 90,000 and 110,000, but macro factors (such as Fed rate decisions or regulatory news) could bring downside risk toward 70k. In the long term, halving-related hype keeps the 150k+ target alive heading into 2026. Investor sentiment is neutral-to-bearish; suitable for scalping, but also a potential accumulation zone for long-term HODLers.
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2. Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Analysis
ETH generally moves in parallel with BTC but is more volatile due to altcoin dynamics. On the daily chart, downward pressure remains dominant.
Daily Chart:
There is a clear descending channel (white lines), with price trading below the EMA at 3,292.51. After being rejected from the recent high of 4,957.86, price is currently hovering around 3,172.04. Major support levels are 2,750.58 (0.618 Fibonacci), 2,432.70, 2,150.54, and the critical 1,386.21 (potential macro bottom). Resistance levels are 4,114.95, 3,172.04 (current level), and the EMA region at 3,292.51. Formation-wise, it resembles a bearish pennant—suggesting a potential downside breakout after compression. Volume is low, and liquidity pools are heavily concentrated around the 2,750 area.
ETH Market Outlook:
Bearish dominance persists in the short term; if 2,750 breaks, the risk of a move below 2,000 increases significantly. However, with ETH 2.0 upgrades and Layer-2 solutions, I still expect long-term recovery—targets above 5,000 remain valid. For investors, swing trading opportunities exist: shorts near 4,000 resistance, longs near strong support zones.
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3. OTHERS Dominance (Altcoin Dominance) Analysis
OTHERS dominance (the share of altcoins excluding BTC) reflects capital rotation in the market. On the daily chart, a downtrend persists below the EMA at 5.75%.
Daily Chart:
Current level is around 6.40%, with resistance at 6.94% and supports at 6.00%, 5.87%, 5.52%, and 4.78%. Formation: a descending triangle—suggesting a potential downside breakout. USDT.D is also at 6.40%, indicating stablecoin dominance integration; if dominance declines, it could trigger an altcoin rally.
Dominance Market Outlook:
A decline in OTHERS dominance implies increasing BTC dominance—meaning capital is flowing into BTC. If dominance drops below 5% in the short term, an altseason could begin. What I’m watching: if the 6.00% support holds, we may see stabilization; otherwise, there’s a risk of an altcoin dump.
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4. TOTAL and TOTAL2 (Total Market Capitalization) Analysis
TOTAL (overall crypto market cap) and TOTAL2 (altcoin market cap excluding BTC) reflect the general health of the market.
TOTAL Daily Chart:
Price is in a descending channel below the EMA at 3.22T. Key levels: upper resistance at 4.6T; supports at 3.92T, 3.6T, 3.39T, and the current level at 2.91T. Formation: bearish channel—combined with declining volume, suggesting the correction may deepen.
TOTAL2 Daily Chart (Baseline Analysis):
A similar downtrend structure, with levels parallel to TOTAL. EMA region lies between 1.5T–2T. Supports at 2.73T and 2.52T; resistance at 3.05T. Formation: falling wedge—indicating potential reversal.
TOTAL / TOTAL2 Market Outlook:
A drop of total market cap below 3T would signal a broad bear market. In the short term, volatility remains high; if BTC recovers, TOTAL could revisit 4T+. In the long term, driven by regulation and adoption, I expect 5T+ market cap. Risk management: I keep 30% of my portfolio in stablecoins.
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General Market Outlook and My Strategy
The crypto market is currently in a correction phase: bearish pressure dominates BTC and ETH, declining dominance signals capital rotation, and TOTAL metrics indicate liquidity compression. For short-term scalping, focus on support/resistance breakouts; for swing trades, wait for EMA confirmations. Long term: I expect a bullish cycle toward 2026, but risk remains high—always DYOR!
All levels mentioned are chart-based; the market is dynamic, so please do your own research. Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s engage!