#市场触底了吗？

“Bottom” is not a single point, but a range of emotional zones.

As mainstream cryptocurrencies continue to retrace, many people are starting to ask: Have we already hit the bottom? In my view, the market’s “bottom” has never been an exact point, but a range composed of panic, hesitation, and numbness. From a price structure perspective, although BTC and ETH have experienced significant pullbacks, they are still in the correction phase within a medium- to long-term upward trend, and there are no typical signs of systemic collapse. The true market bottom is often accompanied by collective emotions such as “no one discussing the trend,” “good news is met with disbelief,” and “rebound seen as a chance to escape.”

From volume and volatility, what we see now is more like a rebalancing within a trend correction rather than a complete clearing of emotions. The decline in mainstream coins has not triggered chain reactions of panic selling, indicating that overall market leverage has not spiraled out of control, which is very crucial. Therefore, rather than obsessing over “whether this is the lowest point,” it’s better to accept a reality: the bottom is gradually formed over time.

In terms of trading strategy, I prefer to deploy gradually rather than trying to catch the bottom all at once. Maintain patience with core positions, try small positions to test the waters, and avoid emotional trading. If later we see sideways movement with decreasing volume and no further decline on negative news, that would be a true signal to increase positions.

The market always offers opportunities to disciplined traders, not rewards to those who try to guess the bottom.