The Battle of the "Most Dangerous Man" in the Global Financial System.. How One Minute Changed All Predictions?

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In the corridors of finance, it is always said:
"Never fight the Federal Reserve."

But what if you don’t know who will lead the Fed tomorrow?

The attached scene from (Polymarket) prediction markets tells a dramatic story about the current confusion in the markets regarding the upcoming successor to "Jerome Powell."
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What happened in the final moments?
For a brief moment, the market was almost certain that Kevin Hassett (Kevin Hassett) was the chosen one, with a probability exceeding 80%.
The bets were stable, and money was moving based on this certainty.

Suddenly, within a few hours on Friday, the table turned.
Hassett’s chances plummeted vertically, while Kevin Warsh (Kevin Warsh)’s share soared from less than 15% (to levels of 37% in one moment.
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Why is the world watching this race?
The next US President Donald Trump cleverly stated:
"We have Kevin and Kevin... and both are great."

But markets dislike gray areas.

The difference between the two is not just a name.
Each one carries a different "school of thought" regarding interest rates, dollar printing, and dealing with inflation.
This sharp fluctuation on the chart is actually a "re-pricing" process for the future of the dollar, gold, and stocks based on the identity of the new leader.
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Reading between the lines:
This sudden rise of "Warsh" indicates leaks or new convictions among "smart money" that the scales may tilt toward a more stringent or traditional monetary policy, which could change the liquidity equation in 2026.
Prediction Markets )Prediction Markets( has once again proven to be faster than news outlets; it moves with money, not words.
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Summary:
We are at a sensitive transitional stage. The fluctuation in the Fed chair’s identity means volatility across all financial assets.
For investors, the important thing isn’t who wins, but "what policy" they will adopt.
Watch the dollar and bond yields, as they will tell you the truth before the official announcement.

In your opinion,
What is better for the markets at this stage:
A familiar face or a completely new policy?

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