#以太坊行情技术解读 The Bank of Japan presses the rate hike button, while the Federal Reserve begins a rate cut cycle——how will the crypto market react under these two signals?



Ethereum($ETH) is worth a close look. In the long term, the 8500 price level is a key reference point. Short-term fluctuations are inevitable, but shifts in macro liquidity often change the entire narrative. When Japan tightens and the US loosens, the resulting interest rate differentials and capital flows will ultimately be reflected in crypto market pricing.

At this moment, some are bullish while others are cautious. The focus is not on predicting a perfect hit rate, but on understanding: why do rate hikes and cuts impact the crypto space? When liquidity is abundant, risk assets become more attractive; when liquidity tightens, safe-haven sentiment rises. $ETH, as the second-largest crypto asset, is especially affected.

In the upcoming period, pay attention to the Federal Reserve's stance, subsequent Japanese policies, and on-chain data from the Ethereum ecosystem—these are key references for judging market rhythm.
ETH2.42%
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MoonRocketmanvip
· 12-16 19:49
I have been watching the 8500 level for a while. The Bollinger Bands angle coefficient is clearly converging, and the launch window is just around the corner... RSI momentum still has room to push higher. Once the Federal Reserve confirms its stance, the fuel can be added. Liquidity shift signals a breakout of the gravity resistance level. $ETH is the first to be affected. The key is whether the escape velocity is strong enough. The rate hike in Japan is just noise. The real breakout depends on the Federal Reserve. We are now in the countdown preparation phase. If this spread arbitrage really kicks off, on-chain data will reflect it 3-5 bars ahead of the candlestick chart. I am already prepared.
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SolidityJestervip
· 12-16 13:49
If 8500 can't be broken, ETH will be in trouble this time... When it comes to arbitrage through interest rate differentials, retail investors are always the last to take the fall.
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MaticHoleFillervip
· 12-14 02:57
8500 is really a tough level... I keep struggling here every time, so annoying.
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DAOdreamervip
· 12-14 02:48
Japan raises interest rates, the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, this move directly turned liquidity into a mess... 8500 is indeed a hurdle, but to be honest, a more critical question is how much the Federal Reserve can cut, and not be unpredictable again😤
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YieldWhisperervip
· 12-14 02:36
tbh the math on "8500 as key support" doesn't actually hold up... seen this exact narrative play out in 2021 lmao. flow charts look nice but let's examine the actual on-chain patterns first before everyone apes in on the "divergence trade"
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