2025-12-10 06:11:22

#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 this week is a pivotal time for Bitcoin, the market is sounding the exact opposite

The past two days have been bombarded with information:

CZ, a big man in the currency circle, has come up with a new argument for a "super cycle" - believing that the traditional four-year market cycle may be broken, and what awaits us is a longer and more violent rise. It sounds cool, but it's just shouting.

The White House has something to say about "good for the economy". As soon as the market heard this tone, it made up a bunch of imaginations: Will the policy be relaxed? Will it be friendly to risk assets? It's all speculation.

On the other hand, Standard Chartered Bank's attitude is much more cautious. They directly cut the target price of BTC from $200,000 to $100,000 next year, for a very heart-wrenching reason - the demand for real money from institutions has not met expectations, and although ETFs have attracted gold, the flow rate has slowed down significantly. The long-term target of 500,000 yuan has not changed, but it has been pushed back to 2030, and the implication is: don't worry.

To summarize the current situation:

The funds did not run, but were more cautious. Some people are secretly deploying altcoins, and on-chain activity is also recovering slightly. But emotions? The state of low atmospheric pressure is like holding your breath underwater, ready to break out at any time.

Fed official Powell's speech on Tuesday basically determined the follow-up direction. If he really pushes for interest rate cuts, the market may directly switch from "muffled patience" to "carnival mode", and capital sentiment will resonate instantly. On the contrary, if there is a lot of internal opposition and he chooses to stand still, then he will continue to shake and grind the bottom and exchange time for space.

But regardless of the outcome, this week is a watershed moment for the market in the second half of the year. This is not a data race, but a sentiment race – changes in confidence often ignite the market faster than fundamental data.

What do you think? Is Powell releasing eagles or pigeons this time? The comment area is waiting for your judgment 👇

BTC-2,54%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

11 Likes

Reward
11
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

BitcoinDaddy

· 2025-12-13 05:37

Alright, let's see what Powell says on Tuesday. It feels like this time it's really a high-stakes gamble. --- I would just laugh if Standard Chartered drops to 100,000. If institutional demand isn't in place, what does that mean? It just means they haven't decided yet. --- Right now, it feels like holding your breath underwater. When will we surface? It all depends on what Powell says. --- CZ's call for a super cycle is just to hype retail investors; the funds have already seen through it. --- I can't believe there's an immediate celebration after the rate cut is implemented. Would such a timid institution still follow? --- On-chain activity recovery, just let it be. Anyway, I've already exited and am waiting for signals. --- Honestly, it's a game of sentiment. All the data is fake; it depends on whose words can better deceive. --- I agree that the second half of the year's market is a watershed, but who knows which way the watershed will flow? --- People who are deploying in copycat projects are really brave. I admire those who dare to buy the dip at this time. --- The White House says good news is good news? I think it's just their own wishful thinking.

View OriginalReply0

BearMarketMonk

· 2025-12-10 19:49

Standard Chartered directly cut in half this time, indicating that institutions are really not that eager. The slower ETF inflow is probably the core issue.

View OriginalReply0

RooftopVIP

· 2025-12-10 06:41

Standard Chartered's wave of operations is really amazing, from 200,000 to 100,000, and the slow flow rate of institutions is really heartfelt. CZ shouts supercycle, just listen to it, don't go up --- I admire the statement of emotional competition, and the fundamental data is useful, it all depends on Powell's mouth to decide life and death --- The low pressure is holding its breath, which is indescribable, and it feels like the whole market is betting on Tuesday, and the eagle or the dove is really a matter of idea --- It is true that altcoins are secretly deploying, and it is a good sign that large funds are cautious but have not withdrawn, it depends on whether it can turn around --- Don't worry, these two words are too right, only 500,000 in 2030, so what are we doing now? --- The White House said that everyone will make up for the good thing, it depends on how Powell takes this stalk, and the decision is still in the hands of the Fed

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainFries

· 2025-12-10 06:40

Not to mention whether the probability of interest rate cuts is high, anyway, I know the direction of Powell's mouth, and I will look at it this week

View OriginalReply0

MetaverseMortgage

· 2025-12-10 06:40

Standard Chartered's wave of operations is really amazing, cutting expectations in half can still throw the pot to institutional demand, isn't this chronic death?

View OriginalReply0

WalletWhisperer

· 2025-12-10 06:35

whale clustering patterns screaming accumulation phase... but the transaction velocity tells a different story. classic market inefficiency that'll resolve tuesday.

Reply0

CryptoWageSlave

· 2025-12-10 06:33

The key to Powell's effort is whether the institution is willing to spend real money or not The wallet can't be opened before the word of interest rate cut falls, and this game depends on who admits the cowardice first

View OriginalReply0