The countdown to this week’s Fed policy meeting is on, and the market widely expects a 25 basis point rate cut. But what’s truly worth noting is the line Powell might deliver after the meeting—don’t count on major liquidity easing next year.

What does a rate cut mean for the crypto market? The textbook answer: lower rates, a weaker dollar, and hot money naturally flows into risk assets. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin often surface during these times. The logic is simple: money needs a place to go.

However, the phrase “the bar is very high” has a hidden meaning. It’s essentially a preemptive warning to the market—not to expect rate cuts in 2025; we may be on hold. Sometimes, this kind of expectation management is more impactful than the rate cut itself.

So, how should you act?

Short-term players can bet on a post-meeting sentiment rebound. If the market interprets things optimistically, you can get in and out quickly for a swing trade. But be sure to set a take-profit line—don’t get greedy.

Mid- to long-term investors should be patient. If Powell emphasizes a “pause signal,” the market could see a pullback and shakeout. That’s when building positions in batches offers better value.

Simply put, the rate cut is already priced in; what really drives the trend is “will there be more cuts ahead?” Hold your spot positions, have the courage to buy on dips, don’t chase when it rises, and always keep some ammo in reserve. The bull market logic hasn’t changed, but every step needs to be steady.

There’s never a shortage of opportunities in the market—what’s lacking is calm judgment. Keep a close eye on policy direction and understand on-chain capital flows; that’s a hundred times better than blindly following the crowd.