Some thoughts on ACA and ETH—



Right now, everyone in the market is watching the Federal Reserve meeting on December 10. A 25 basis point rate cut? It's almost a sure thing, with an 87% probability.

But here's an old trick worth mentioning: expectations and reality often play two different games.

Think about it—if prices have already soared before the rate cut is officially announced, what happens when the news finally drops? Most likely, it will be a case of "buy the rumor, sell the news," and a pullback will still happen. The market loves to price in expectations early, and by the time the moment arrives, there's no momentum left to keep going up.

On the flip side, if things stay quiet and subdued before the meeting with little volatility, the rate cut might actually become the trigger for a new market rally. After all, if the price hasn’t run up yet, there’s still ammo left.

So don’t just focus on that number—think more about the current market sentiment. If you get the timing right, you won’t get left behind.
ACA-0.71%
ETH-0.53%
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ContractTestervip
· 15h ago
It's all peaked now. When interest rates are cut, it actually triggers a market sell-off. I've seen this trick too many times.
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rugdoc.ethvip
· 12-10 12:09
The reasoning is solid, but we really need to be cautious about front-loading good news, or else we'll get trapped.
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LiquidationWatchervip
· 12-08 11:54
I also believed in the 87% probability, but what happened? The drop was even worse. This is the same old trick: retail investors are all betting on a rate cut, but institutions have already exited.
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PseudoIntellectualvip
· 12-08 11:53
Sold too early, let's wait until the rate cut is implemented before making any moves.
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ImpermanentPhobiavip
· 12-08 11:53
You think you can sit back and relax with an 87% probability? Wake up, the moment the good news is realized is when the dump begins.
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PaperHandSistervip
· 12-08 11:43
An 87% probability of a rate cut sounds pretty solid, but if the market has already rallied on this expectation, you need to be careful. When the official announcement actually comes, it might end up triggering a sell-off.
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MeaninglessApevip
· 12-08 11:29
With an 87% probability, this has been hyped up too much. When it actually happens, it might end up being disappointing. A correction is still going to happen when it's due.
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