#Bitcoin — What’s Next?

Sunday Breakdown (Short & Clear):

Nothing major changed since last week’s report. The two key liquidity zones remain the same: 97k–100k and 105k–107k. These are the areas where market makers may push price before any major move. The weekly EMA50 still needs a retest, and that aligns perfectly with the first liquidity cluster near 99–100k — a move that could easily happen during the FOMC statement on Dec 10th.

Right now, BTC has three likely paths:

---

✅ Scenario 1 (Moderate probability)

Price continues the current bear flag structure and drops directly to ~70k without revisiting upper liquidity zones.

---

✅ Scenario 2 (Highest probability)

BTC spikes into 97k–100k, retests EMA50 to create bullish sentiment, then reverses sharply toward 70k.

---

✅ Scenario 3 (Less likely but still possible)

A bigger trap: price pushes into 105k–107k, triggers breakout euphoria, then reverses aggressively and breaks below 83k, targeting ~70k.

---

Regarding the question:
“Why not close shorts from 115–125k and re-enter higher or lower?”
Because probabilities > emotions. Those entries are positioned perfectly for the broader macro trend, and the probability of BTC reaching 70k is still extremely high — the only unknown is how big the fake pump will be first.

---

📌 Macro sentiment remains bearish.
The death cross confirmation was the final warning — yet most traders ignore it because they trade emotions, not data.

---

🔔 Event to watch:

FOMC – Dec 10

86% expect a 0.25% cut → already priced in

14% expect NO cut → if that happens, expect aggressive selling across markets

---

Bottom line:
A relief pump may come — whether it stops at 97k or 107k — but the 70k target remains the primary destination.