12.8 Early morning forecast analysis

Combined with the current price (SOL 135, BNB 902, ZEC 345) and 4-hour technical, quantitative, and indicator signals, it gives short- and medium-term (4-hour cycle) long and short ideas, and it is not recommended to blindly short the spot price, priority and other key positions to trigger entry, as follows:

1. SOL (current price 135): 4-hour shock is bearish, and the rebound resistance level is mainly short

Core logic: The 4-hour MACD histogram continues to be positive but gradually shortened, the strength of the bulls weakens, KDJ is in the overbought range (previous value 85), the price rises with the decline in trading volume, the upward momentum is insufficient, and 135 is close to the short-term resistance, and 132 below is the key support.

- It is not recommended to be short on the current price: it is currently on the edge of the resistance level, there is no clear signal of breaking, and the direct short is easy to be swept away by a small rebound;
- Short entry timing: rebound to 138-140 (small resistance in the early 4-hour + overbought pullback pressure), if there is pressure on the negative column, shrinking in volume, decisively enter, stop loss 143 (break through the previous short-term high), 4-hour target 132-128 (key support level, touch to take profit);
- Long opportunity: only the support level is low, step back to stabilize around 132 (closing the positive column + volume energy recovery), enter the light position, stop loss 129, target 136-138 (rebound resistance).

2. BNB (current price 902): The 4-hour rebound is blocked, mainly high, and the low is only short-term

Core logic: The 4-hour level rebounded to the 901 key long-short dividing line, the current price slightly exceeded but did not stand firm, the upper 913-928 is a dense resistance area, and there is no continuous volume support after the early rebound, the overall trend is still bearish, and the rebound is more likely to fall under pressure.

- It is not recommended to be short at the current price: 902 has just touched the dividing line, so it is necessary to observe whether it stands firm to avoid entering too early;
- Short entry timing: rebound to 910-913 (4-hour short-term resistance), if it is under pressure and cannot break through, enter the short, stop loss 918 (break through the upper edge of resistance), 4-hour target 890-885 (previous support range);
- Long opportunity: Stabilize around 890, long short term light position, stop loss 883, target 905-908 (rebound to take profit near the dividing line, do not love to fight).

3. ZEC (current price 345): 4-hour volume and price divergence, rebound resistance is short, and support level is much lower

Core logic: 4-hour level price rise but trading volume decreases, volume and price divergence, long momentum attenuation, MACD histogram shortens negatively but there is no clear signal to turn long, KDJ is in the neutral range, 345-350 is short-term resistance, and 338-335 below is support.

- It is not recommended to be short at the current price: 345 has just touched the resistance and needs to be confirmed by the pressure signal;
- Short entry timing: rebound to 348-350 (4-hour resistance upper edge), if the negative is under pressure and the volume is insufficient, enter the short position, stop loss 353, 4-hour target 340-338 (support level);
- Long opportunity: Stabilize around 338, enter the light position, stop loss 335, target 346-348 (rebound resistance, touch take-profit).

Key reminders

1. The 4-hour cycle needs to focus on the break/stabilization signals of support/resistance levels (whether the closing line is firm/falling, and whether the volume can cooperate), and do not blindly chase orders;
2. Leveraged contracts need to control positions, with a single currency position not exceeding 30%, and the stop loss is strictly set to avoid extreme market losses.
#十二月行情展望 #加密市场观察