#ETH走势分析 Eight Years of Trading: How a 37-Year-Old Female Retail Investor Turned 50,000 into 50 Million



My name is Kejie. I was 29 when I entered the crypto world.

In 2015, when Bitcoin dropped below $200, I invested all the 50,000 yuan I’d saved over three years. Looking back now, that money has grown to over 50 million—but honestly, there are scars behind that number.

I remember the first time I opened a trading platform, the dense numbers made my scalp tingle. Back then, I was learning from an old hand. He once told me something I still remember: “This market is designed to take down smart people. Focus on surviving first, stop obsessing over getting rich.”

Sounds cowardly, right? But that advice saved my life several times.

Some Expensive Lessons Learned

Counterintuitive Thoughts on Price Surges and Drops

A slow decline after a big spike isn’t actually that scary.

Back in 2020 when the DeFi bubble burst, UNI dropped from $8 all the way to $2.50, making people panic. I, on the other hand, started buying in batches, and eventually sold some at $40.

What’s the real sign to run? When a coin doubles in a day, trading volume explodes, and it suddenly crashes through support. That’s when the whales flip the table and leave, and if you don’t get out, you’re left holding the bag.

Volume Is More Honest Than Candlesticks

The market top isn’t when everyone’s hyping buys.

It’s when newbies start showing off gains in their WeChat Moments while on-chain data is quietly shrinking. Back in the Dogecoin craze in 2021, Twitter was flooded every day, but I noticed on-chain trading volume had dropped for a week straight. I liquidated everything—three days later, the price was cut in half.

The liveliest time in the market is often the most dangerous.

Bottoms Are Ground Out, Not Guessed

A sudden 30% pump during a bear market? Most likely a trap.

What does a real bottom look like? Two straight weeks of low-volume sideways action, no one cares, no big moves. In 2018, Bitcoin hovered around $3,200 for ages, and I dollar-cost averaged $100 a day. After six months, my cost was under $4,000.

This kind of “dumb” method works way better than chasing pumps and dumps.

Stop Trying to Break the Game—Learn to Read the Game First

I used to obsess over all kinds of technical indicators—MACD, Bollinger Bands, you name it.

Later I realized candlesticks are just emotional reflections. Whales fear two types of people: those who dare to buy during crashes, and those who sell in batches during rallies.

Last year, when SOL crashed from $260 to $80, I added to my position every 20% drop, then sold in three batches on the rebound to $150. My profits were higher than those who stubbornly held to the bottom.

Now I live in a villa in Xixi, Hangzhou, but my computer is still the same $300 custom-built machine.

Not to play poor—it’s because I know this industry requires the clarity of an outsider. When you think you’ve seen through the market, that’s usually the night before danger hits. When you admit you don’t understand it, you’re actually closer to the truth.

I used to stumble blindly in the dark. Now I finally have a light in my hand. The light’s always on—whether you follow or not, that’s up to you.
ETH-3.9%
BTC-3.27%
UNI-8.88%
DOGE-5.37%
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GateUser-7b078580vip
· 12-04 13:20
Data shows that on-chain transaction volume is the real signal, while those newbies showing off screenshots are often the last batch of bag holders... That said, what she mentioned about dollar-cost averaging is the essence of survival, not making big money.
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NFTArchaeologistvip
· 12-04 13:17
Damn, this story sounds ridiculous... From 50,000 to 50 million? Why does it feel like I'm reading a wish-fulfillment novel?
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TerraNeverForgetvip
· 12-04 13:16
Volume is king; candlestick charts are just for fooling people. --- Damn, this story actually makes some sense, but I still trust dollar-cost averaging more than any technical indicators. --- Fifty million is seriously impressive, but you only really know if it's expensive or not when you actually start spending the money. --- "The market makers fear two types of people the most"—that line really hit me. I'm exactly the kind of fool who chases the highs and sells at the lows. --- Wait, she's still using a 3,000 yuan DIY computer? I'm dead, hahaha. --- I totally agree with grinding out the bottom. Back in the day, I was dollar-cost averaging $100 every day. Looking back, it was just about stubbornly hanging in there. --- What scares me the most is when there's suddenly a huge surge in volume and everything doubles—that's always been a bloody nightmare for me. --- This on-chain data shrinkage metric is something I need to remember, way more reliable than watching Twitter arguments. --- Admitting you don't understand the market is actually more clear-headed—this is spot on, way more honest than those overconfident analysts. --- I also got completely wrecked during that 2021 Dogecoin wave, sigh. --- The light stays on—whether you follow or not is up to you. Is this what being a pro feels like? Damn.
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DegenWhisperervip
· 12-04 13:16
Sis, your theory sounds great, but to be honest, most people will still chase the highs and sell at the lows after hearing it, haha. On-chain data is really a truth detector, much more honest than those KOLs who brag about their trades every day. The key is being able to withstand the psychological torment—that's the real cultivation.
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CryptoSurvivorvip
· 12-04 13:15
Damn, is this for real? Turning fifty thousand into fifty million? Why am I always doing the opposite? --- That line "first think about how to survive" is brilliant. I used to stupidly chase pumps and dump at losses. --- That part about on-chain data shrinking is so real. I just love this kind of solid analysis. --- DCA-ing a hundred bucks in USD does seem dumb, but it works way better than my gambler approach, haha. --- That SOL trade was truly professional. I had nothing but losing trades last year. --- Still using a 3000 yuan DIY rig, that's insane. I could never be that clear-headed. --- It's all about mindset. Most people lose because of greed. --- "Outsiders stay clear-headed"—I need to tattoo that on my brain. --- Those who did DCA during the 3200 sideways in 2018 must be financially free by now. --- A slow bleed after a surge isn't scary; it's those one-day doubles followed by a hard dump that are the real dumping signals.
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TokenAlchemistvip
· 12-04 13:12
ngl the on-chain volume thesis here is actually solid, but she's basically just describing arbitrage surface inefficiency that collapses during liquidation cascades lol
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