2025-12-04 09:26:42

Does the end of QT tightening mean a bull market is about to start? Let's take a look at how things played out last time.

At the end of July 2019, there was indeed a brief rally for a few days. But what happened next? Sideways consolidation, a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, tormenting you until you start doubting life. What's worse, before QE was officially launched, there was the 3/12 crash—a bloodbath that swept the market.

Some people blame the pandemic. But the timeline doesn't add up—between the initial outbreak and the global spread, the market was actually trending upward. 3/12 looked more like a sudden liquidity crisis, completely out of sync with the pace of virus transmission.

Looking back, during the vacuum period between the end of QT and the start of QE, the market repeatedly corrected and shook out weak hands, with bears getting left behind wave after wave. History doesn't repeat itself exactly, but the rhythm is worth paying attention to.

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LiquidityWizard

· 14h ago

Here we go again, wasn't the lesson from 3/12 painful enough? The vacuum period is actually the most dangerous—don't be fooled by the rebound. If there's another bloodbath this time, I'm just giving up. The rhythm feels off, it really reminds me of 2019. Wait, you all managed to hold on? My mentality has already collapsed. Sideways trading is torture; instead of guessing the top, it's better to recognize the risks. A liquidity crisis shows no mercy, there's no way to guard against it.

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BearMarketSunriser

· 12-04 09:56

Here we go again? I just want to ask, who can really grasp the rhythm of that vacuum period? Honestly, it’s just gambling. Hold on, was that 312 crash really a liquidity crisis? Doesn’t seem that simple to me. History repeating itself? Yeah right. It’s hard to say if we’ll even get a piece of the pie this time. Wait, you mean we’re still in the shakeout phase? Then I guess I have to keep waiting. Are we going to be tortured all over again? My heart can’t take it.

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ShibaMillionairen't

· 12-04 09:56

Is it really the same this time? I have my doubts. This again? You said the same thing last time. QT ending ≠ guaranteed pump, that logic is too naive. How did we forget the lesson from 312 so quickly? Let's wait and see, the vacuum period is when the knives come out. Be careful of being shaken out, don't get fooled. History may rhyme, but it never repeats exactly. Timing is crucial—be cautious when trying to catch the bottom.

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BearMarketSage

· 12-04 09:34

The vacuum period is when human nature is most clearly revealed. Will it be the same old trick this time? Is it time for another hellish round of shakeouts? I'm so damn sick of it. No one expected the 312 crash; the liquidity crisis was even harsher than the pandemic. History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. The shorts are about to get wiped out again this time. The timeline is really interesting—there’s no sync at all between the pandemic and the crash. Thinking a short-term pump means we’re about to moon? Still too naive, my friend. The window between QT and QE is when things are most likely to go wrong. That’s all there is to it, if you ask me. Let’s wait and see—maybe this time we’ll have to suffer through months of sideways torture again.

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