#ETH巨鲸增持 After battling in the crypto market for so long, I've come to realize one thing: what really keeps you alive isn't some sophisticated technical indicator, but knowing which market conditions you should engage with and which you should avoid.

To put it simply, making money isn't about how many different price patterns you can analyze, but whether you can control yourself and only trade the handful that you truly understand inside and out.

Now when I trade, I only focus on three scenarios. The rest? I just ignore them.

**Scenario 1: Breakout Pullback, Second Leg Up**

After the price breaks through a major resistance, there’s usually a pullback. The key is that this pullback shouldn't fall below the breakout level, and trading volume should drop significantly. When it approaches the previous high or support and starts to rise again—that's my entry signal.

A lot of people jump in the moment a breakout happens, only to get caught by a fake-out. I’d rather be a step late and wait for confirmation before moving. At least that way, I’m in a relatively safe position.

**Scenario 2: Fakeout at the End of a Sideways Market**

When the market has been consolidating for a long time, suddenly there’s a sharp downward spike with high volume, scaring retail traders into panic selling. But then the price quickly recovers, creating a "fake breakdown."

I don’t try to catch the bottom here. I wait until the price reclaims the support level and confirms the rebound before considering an entry. If I miss it, so be it—better that than catching a falling knife. Divergences in volume and price, unusual order book activity—these details help me make the call.

**Scenario 3: Shakeout and Acceleration in an Uptrend**

Halfway through an uptrend, the price starts moving sideways or makes small pullbacks, testing the downside multiple times but never breaking core support. Then, one day, it suddenly accelerates upward.

My approach: Once key support holds, I add to my position when the breakout is confirmed in the short term. Even if I’m wrong, I can still get out at this level. I don’t try to guess the top—just act on confirmed signals.

I don’t try to catch tops, bottom fish, or chase coins that have already taken off. I only trade these patterns that I’ve repeatedly validated in my system.

Any market action outside of these three scenarios? I choose to stay on the sidelines or just close the app.

Some people say this is too conservative and that I’ll miss a lot of opportunities. That’s true—I do miss a lot. But I don’t care about how many opportunities I catch; I care about how long I can survive in this market.

The essence of trading isn’t about who makes money faster, but who makes fewer mistakes, loses less, and lasts longer. If you can do that, time will give you the answer. $BTC $ETH