#PostonSquaretoEarn$50 BTC Strategy Confirmation and Refinement

This trading strategy is designed to cover the three main scenarios in the current Bitcoin market: Range, Breakout, and Breakdown, with clear stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk efficiently.

1. Range Trading (Current Focus): For the short-term range setup, the recommended action is a light long position between $86,500 and $87,500, taking advantage of the bounce from the recent low. The stop-loss at $85,000 is appropriately tight for a range trade, protecting against unexpected downside while allowing for a potential upside target at the first major resistance of $90,000, with a stretch target of $93,000. Before entering, traders should confirm that the $86,000–$85,500 support is holding, ideally through a strong bullish candle on a 15-minute or 1-hour chart. This ensures higher confidence in the trade while maintaining disciplined risk control.

2. Breakout Following (Aggressive Long): For traders looking to capitalize on upward momentum, a breakout trade can be triggered once a 15-minute candle closes effectively above $90,000 with increased volume. Patience is critical here — avoid front-running the breakout, as high liquidation events have historically caused false breakouts. Volume confirmation is essential to validate the move, ensuring that the breakout has enough strength to sustain a rally. This scenario suits more aggressive traders willing to chase upside while keeping risk tightly managed.

3. Breakdown Defense (Bearish Short): On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below $85,000, signaling a loss of the immediate stabilizing range, the strategy recommends switching to a light short. The initial target for this move is $83,000, with a secondary target near the critical $80,000 level. This setup provides an attractive risk/reward profile for traders prepared to defend against a downside move while keeping losses controlled through strict stop-loss adherence.

⚠️ Risk Management Note: Position sizing is crucial in this volatile environment. Maintain single-trade exposure at or below 10% of your capital and total exposure at 30% or less. Recent liquidations highlight how sensitive the market is to sudden moves, so strict discipline on stop-losses and position sizing is essential to protect capital while allowing opportunities for profit.

Macro Considerations: Traders should also keep an eye on potential macroeconomic events that could influence Bitcoin’s price tomorrow, December 4, 2025. U.S. economic data such as Initial Jobless Claims, trade reports, and any Federal Reserve commentary can trigger sudden volatility, impacting both breakout and breakdown scenarios. Strong economic data could reduce rate-cut expectations, potentially pressuring crypto markets, while weaker data could increase liquidity and risk appetite, supporting bullish moves. Being aware of these factors allows traders to adapt their strategy dynamically.

In conclusion, this strategy combines technical precision, disciplined risk management, and awareness of macroeconomic triggers to navigate a high-volatility market. Whether engaging in range trading, chasing breakouts, or defending against breakdowns, adhering to these guidelines maximizes the chance of success while protecting capital in uncertain market conditions.