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#美联储重启降息步伐 The US Dollar Index suddenly plummeted, and it looks like the Fed’s dovish scenario is about to fall apart.



Tariff policies and unemployment data are taking turns hitting the market, and the probability of a rate cut in December has dropped directly to 6%—which basically means it’s hopeless. But looking at it another way, there’s actually more room for a policy shift now.

If economic data continues to deteriorate, the liquidity floodgates might have to reopen. $BTC and $ETH —right now it all depends on how this round of macro variables plays out, and the market is already pricing it in ahead of time.
BTC1.15%
ETH3.78%
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ChainSherlockGirlvip
· 10h ago
The dovish scenario collapsed in a second, and the tariff data just exploded. The plot twist happened so fast I couldn’t even react. If liquidity opens up, the crypto world is going to get hyped. According to my analysis, big players on-chain have already been positioning themselves in advance.
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ChainWallflowervip
· 10h ago
The dovish scenario is off the table, but this actually gives crypto even more room for imagination... Once the economic data turns bad and the liquidity gates open, BTC and ETH will take off.
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MetaNeighborvip
· 10h ago
Haha, here comes another plot twist. The dovish stance breaking down is truly something. If this round of macro variables keeps deteriorating, liquidity could come rushing in at any moment, and the crypto space will be hyped up again. Let's wait and see the upcoming data. Right now, everyone pricing in advance is betting on central bank intervention. I've said it before: don't put too much weight on that slim chance in December—the key is how the economic fundamentals play out. Once liquidity opens up, BTC will have a shot. This playbook has been used several times already.
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AlgoAlchemistvip
· 10h ago
No more rate cuts, but the liquidity card still has to be played. When that happens, the crypto world will truly be in celebration.
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ReverseFOMOguyvip
· 11h ago
The dovish scenario has collapsed, but is this actually a positive sign? Honestly, that seems a bit far-fetched... However, liquidity is definitely something worth paying attention to. Whether BTC can reach a new high depends on whether the Fed loosens its stance or not.
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BuyTheTopvip
· 11h ago
6% probability of a rate cut in December? That means it's not happening, I've already seen through it. A bigger room for policy shift is actually a good thing. Once liquidity opens up, $BTC will take off.
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UnruggableChadvip
· 11h ago
The dovish scenario has truly collapsed, but this actually opens up even more room for imagination... Once liquidity is loosened, the crypto space will get hyped again.
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