#ETH走势分析 After a few years in this circle, I’ve distilled the pitfalls I’ve fallen into and the blood I’ve shed into 8 blunt truths.

Newcomers, take a look—pay less tuition to the market.

**1. Altcoins are fast food, not marriage**

The rotation of hot trends is so fast you start to question your life.

Today the AI sector soars, tomorrow maybe inscriptions are flying. Once you’ve taken your profits, it’s time to switch tables.

Insist on holding? Those who “believed” in FIL back then, or waited with LUNA until it hit zero—the grass on their graves is three meters high.

Don’t talk to me about long-termism; the long term for alts is zero.

**2. Sideways movement isn’t rest—it’s positioning**

When the price moves sideways at a high level, don’t assume it’s gearing up for a breakout—most likely the big players are unloading.

On the flip side, if it grinds at the bottom and then there’s another panic sell?

That might just be your last chance to get in.

One is a signal to reduce your position, the other is an ambush point worth camping. The market never speaks plainly—you have to translate it yourself.

**3. Sentiment speaks before the candlesticks**

When the market tanks and some coins still refuse to fall? Remember them.

On days the market is flying and a certain coin keeps sliding down? Stay away.

When watching the market, don’t just stare at price—watch the money flows, retail sentiment, and the rhythm of the big players.

The details hide the password for the next cycle.

**4. Never seek comfort in losses**

Adding to your position is meant to amplify wins, not rescue failures.

Buying more after breaking through a previous high—that’s riding the trend.

Doubling down while it keeps tanking? That’s gambling with your life.

Cutting losses isn’t admitting defeat—it’s recognizing reality. Stop the bleeding where it should stop, and you’ll have a chance to let profits run.

**5. Don’t throw away bottomed coins lightly**

For coins that have truly bottomed, the rise is never a straight line up.

It’s always two steps forward, one step back, climbing upward through volatility. The big players will shake out the market, retail will panic, but as long as the big trend is right, holding on is how you get paid.

Markets are forged through grinding, not shouting.

**6. Your perspective determines your profits**

Third-rate players watch indicators—MACD golden cross, they jump in; KDJ oversold, they buy.

Second-rate players watch coins—chase whatever’s pumping.

Top players watch sectors and sentiment—where is the money gathering? What’s the community talking about? Where is the hype exploding?

That’s the real game.

Only watching single coins is a small workshop mentality. Only watching indicators is like blind men feeling an elephant. Relying on luck? That’s just being a gambler.

**7. Volume and price are the truth**

All indicators are derivatives of volume and price.

If you don’t understand volume and price, technical analysis is just talk on paper.

No volume supporting a price rise? It’s probably a trap.

A true breakout is with volume; a real bottom forms when prices fall on low volume.

**8. Follow the trend—don’t fight the market**

In an uptrend, buy the dips at support; in a downtrend, run when you hit resistance.

There are no gods in the market.

All you can do is respect the trend, control your risk, and wait for your opportunity.

Crypto isn’t a casino, nor a stage for get-rich-quick myths. $BTC $ETH $BNB Everything is there, ups and downs are part of the game.

Those who survive are the ones who respect the market.