Why Strategy Is Preparing to Hold Bitcoin Through the Next Market Cycle

Source: Coindoo Original Title: Why Strategy Is Preparing to Hold Bitcoin Through the Next Market Cycle Original Link: https://coindoo.com/why-strategy-is-preparing-to-hold-bitcoin-through-the-next-market-cycle/

3 December 2025

Strategy is redrawing the boundaries of its balance sheet, placing its Bitcoin holdings in a protected long-term bucket and funding everyday financial commitments from a sizeable new U.S.-dollar reserve.

Key Takeaways

• Strategy built a large dollar reserve to ensure dividends can be paid without touching its long-term Bitcoin holdings.
• CEO Phong Lee says only an unusually long market downturn could force a BTC sale, pushing any such scenario toward 2029.
• The company continues accumulating Bitcoin through excess capital and preferred-share financing rather than market timing.

CEO Phong Lee says this structure ensures the company won’t be forced to liquidate BTC during market turbulence, especially when dividend payments come due.

The cash pool acts as a shield: it covers dividends well into the future, allowing the firm to treat Bitcoin as an asset held on a multiyear horizon rather than a liquidity tool. Lee noted that this buffer reduces the pressure to rely on BTC during downturns and keeps operational financing separate from the company’s crypto strategy.

The mNAV Debate and What Could Trigger a Bitcoin Sale

Investor focus has increasingly turned toward mNAV, a metric comparing the firm’s valuation to the value of its Bitcoin treasury. When that ratio slips below 1x, raising equity becomes unattractive. The new reserve is designed to avoid that dilemma altogether. Lee outlined the only scenario that could disrupt this plan: a deep, extended Bitcoin downturn lasting years, combined with mNAV sitting below 1x for the same duration. If that happened, he said, a BTC sale might eventually be unavoidable — but not before 2029.

Lee also highlighted how the company approaches accumulation. Strategy does not attempt to predict market bottoms or tops. Instead, it buys BTC when excess capital is available or when new financing rounds provide fresh funds. This keeps the firm insulated from short-term trading pressure.

Preferred Shares as a Capital Engine

One part of that financing plan is Strategy’s reliance on preferred shares. Lee described them as hybrid instruments that behave more like credit, offering flexibility without the drawbacks of traditional debt or dilutive convertible structures. He expects broader market understanding of these instruments to take time, much like the early days of Strategy’s Bitcoin strategy.

As both BTC and Strategy’s stock move through volatile cycles, dividend concerns often resurface among shareholders. Lee framed the new dollar reserve as the company’s answer: a way to maintain consistent payouts without ever having to touch the Bitcoin treasury.