The Turnaround of ZEC Whale: From the Abyss to the Sky or a Performance That Lures the Entire Market?

Yesterday, the whole community was still gleefully watching a whale lose up to 97 million USD on ZEC, and everyone called it a “legendary bike crash.” Yet, just one night later, people made a 180° turn, gathering a series of short orders and pocketing a 134% profit, leaving the retail crowd unable to react. To be honest, after 7 years of swimming in this turbulent sea of crypto, I have encountered all sorts of bizarre scenarios. But this time, the shift of ZEC is not merely a fluctuation – it is a sophisticated trap designed.

1. Don't be quick to praise whales – this is not a myth of overturning the game. Many brothers see whales “burned and come back to life” and immediately think of trading geniuses. But looking closely at the data: – In just 11 hours, this person quickly closed 2/3 of the shorts position. – The remaining part is released gradually, not all-in, not heroizing the market. It is not about “faith in trends” but rather the discipline of professionals: when you earn, you withdraw; when risk comes, you avoid. This is what 99% of retail investors… cannot do.
2. On-chain data exposes ZEC price trap When I look at the large funds, there are 3 wallets >20 million USD set for liquidation in the range of 653–655 USD. What does it mean? ➡️ ZEC hits 653–655 = a series of positions are liquidated = strong volatility = retail traders take the first hit. Yet in the group, there are still many people shouting “follow the whale, buy strongly!”. That's not a strategy; that's walking into the market's ambush.
3. The technique shows that ZEC is facing the “death cross” At a price of 582 USD, ZEC has dropped 5.68% on the day and is emitting a series of negative signals: • The 1H MACD is death-crossing Although it is currently at level 0, the white-standard line cutting down has led to an increased probability of further decline to 80%. This is a classic pattern of large money withdrawing in silence. • Strong resistance: 655 USD and 700 USD – 655 USD is the area with a dense level of large liquidations. – 700 USD is the old congestion zone – to break through, there must be a huge buying force. Currently? No sign of strong cash flow. • Support thin as rice leaf: 545 and 470 USD – 545 USD: a level that is easy to breach if the selling pressure continues. – 470 USD: strong support, also a strategic bottom. And if 545 breaks… ZEC could “free fall” to 470 USD faster than you think.
4. Personal forecast: ZEC is about to enter a make-or-break test Based on all the data, I lean towards the scenario: • The price will test 655 USD again → Probability of exceeding <30%. → If it fails, there is a high possibility of a sharp reversal down to 545 USD. • 545 USD cannot be sustained → 470 USD will become the next support point. Only when ZEC breaks 655 with a spike in volume can the trend reverse – but this scenario requires a lot of money, a very large amount. Retail investors should never bet on “miracles.”
5. Opportunities are only available to those who are patient. If ZEC really falls to 470 USD, it will be a golden opportunity for medium-term investors: ✔ Stay away from the whales' liquidation zone ✔ Strong history support ✔ The safety margin is much better What about now? Absolutely do not catch the bottom, do not FOMO in, do not act as a “cushion” for whales to withdraw capital. Conclusion Whales aren't rich because they know the future. They are rich because they understand the rules of the game, know where the risks are, and always stay ahead of the crowd's emotions. Retail investors do not lose because of a lack of information – but because they do not know how to filter information, lack methods to avoid traps, and do not have trading discipline. If you don't want to become “cannon fodder” in the battle between whales, trade with data - not emotions.