As we enter the 2026 phase, many signals from the global market are indicating a strong shift in the flow of capital, especially the increasingly evident trend of “Eastward movement.”
Physical Gold – “The Arrow Has Been Nocked”
If Bitcoin is considered digital gold, then physical gold remains the classic standard of value for defensive cash flow. The long-term technical pattern shows that the new peak of gold is closely related to the important pivot points of 2020 and 2022.
Accordingly, the target of the current bull cycle is identified around:
4.370 USD/oz4.737 USD/oz
These could be ideal price areas to allocate take profit partially in the medium term.
The US Stock Market - The Danger Zone is Approaching
Some large technology stocks are showing signs of weakness even though the overall index is still holding steady:
TSLA: Even if it surpasses 527.9 USD, it is still not a safe buying zone. NVDA: Approaching 219.53 USD is hitting a high-risk area. AAPL: Above 310 USD is considered peak price. AMD: Even if it continues to rise, the area around 291 USD is extremely sensitive. MSFT: Weekly candles are starting to show a structural break pattern. META: The level of 796.25 USD could potentially become the peak of the cycle.
Overall, the US market is entering a “thin air” phase, where any fluctuations from interest rates or cash flow can trigger significant adjustments.
Crypto Market – Divergence Signals and Adjustment Cycles
Bitcoin is facing many warnings:
The daily chart has many short-term peak patterns. The weekly frame shows strong divergence signals. The monthly frame weakens in upward momentum.
This indicates that 2026 could be a year of significant adjustment, with the $80,000 range seen as the short-term bottom of the cycle.
About Altcoin
To trigger a real altcoin season, ETH needs to surpass 5,000 USD - something that has not happened yet. Large sell liquidity remains on the order book, making it difficult for altcoins to rally strongly.
The expected timing for the altcoin cycle is:
End of Q4/2025Before Q2/2026
Coins that do not have a founding team behind them may continue to “remain silent all season.” However, projects operated by major players still have the potential to explode in one last wave of the cycle – the important thing is to maintain confidence and avoid FOMO.
Summary
2026 will not be a “calm” year. Major markets are entering a strong phase of differentiation: the Chinese stock market has accumulated enough strength, gold is ready to break its peak, the US faces adjustment risks, and crypto is preparing for a major cleansing wave. This cycle is not for impatience — but for those who understand where the money is flowing and dare to remain steadfast with their strategy.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
Financial Forecast for 2026: A Big Wave Has Formed, Just Waiting for the Explosion Moment
As we enter the 2026 phase, many signals from the global market are indicating a strong shift in the flow of capital, especially the increasingly evident trend of “Eastward movement.” Physical Gold – “The Arrow Has Been Nocked” If Bitcoin is considered digital gold, then physical gold remains the classic standard of value for defensive cash flow. The long-term technical pattern shows that the new peak of gold is closely related to the important pivot points of 2020 and 2022. Accordingly, the target of the current bull cycle is identified around: 4.370 USD/oz4.737 USD/oz These could be ideal price areas to allocate take profit partially in the medium term. The US Stock Market - The Danger Zone is Approaching Some large technology stocks are showing signs of weakness even though the overall index is still holding steady: TSLA: Even if it surpasses 527.9 USD, it is still not a safe buying zone. NVDA: Approaching 219.53 USD is hitting a high-risk area. AAPL: Above 310 USD is considered peak price. AMD: Even if it continues to rise, the area around 291 USD is extremely sensitive. MSFT: Weekly candles are starting to show a structural break pattern. META: The level of 796.25 USD could potentially become the peak of the cycle.
Overall, the US market is entering a “thin air” phase, where any fluctuations from interest rates or cash flow can trigger significant adjustments. Crypto Market – Divergence Signals and Adjustment Cycles Bitcoin is facing many warnings: The daily chart has many short-term peak patterns. The weekly frame shows strong divergence signals. The monthly frame weakens in upward momentum. This indicates that 2026 could be a year of significant adjustment, with the $80,000 range seen as the short-term bottom of the cycle. About Altcoin To trigger a real altcoin season, ETH needs to surpass 5,000 USD - something that has not happened yet. Large sell liquidity remains on the order book, making it difficult for altcoins to rally strongly. The expected timing for the altcoin cycle is: End of Q4/2025Before Q2/2026 Coins that do not have a founding team behind them may continue to “remain silent all season.” However, projects operated by major players still have the potential to explode in one last wave of the cycle – the important thing is to maintain confidence and avoid FOMO. Summary 2026 will not be a “calm” year. Major markets are entering a strong phase of differentiation: the Chinese stock market has accumulated enough strength, gold is ready to break its peak, the US faces adjustment risks, and crypto is preparing for a major cleansing wave. This cycle is not for impatience — but for those who understand where the money is flowing and dare to remain steadfast with their strategy.