#美SEC推动加密创新监管 To be honest: most retail investors lose money, not because they can't make accurate predictions, but because they lack discipline.

I have been using this strategy for over two years, and it has at least helped me avoid most of the basic mistakes.

**First survive, then talk about making money**

Divide the bullets into 5 parts, firing only one shot each time. Set a 10% stop-loss for each transaction - which amounts to 2% of the total funds. Even if you make five consecutive wrong calls, you'll only lose 10%, but as long as you seize the right opportunity once, you can basically fill the previous pits. This calculation is straightforward; the key is whether you can resist going all in.

**Don't go against the trend**

Buying the dip when the market is falling? That's called catching a falling knife. The right time to act is during a pullback in an uptrend. Those who go with the trend get to enjoy the soup, while those who insist on going against it end up with no soup to drink.

**Stay calm after the surge**

Coins that surge too quickly in a short period often lack momentum afterward. Once they can't push higher and start consolidating, there's a high probability of a pullback. Is it wise to chase in at this point? Essentially, it means you're just helping others profit.

**MACD is not万能, but very useful**

A golden cross below the 0-axis crossing upwards suggests a stable entry; a death cross above the 0-axis moving downwards indicates that you should withdraw if necessary, don't be greedy for that last bit.

**Never increase your position when you're losing**

The more you lose, the more you try to make up for it, and the pit will only get deeper. Only consider doubling down when you are in profit and the trend is still ongoing. Let the profitable trades run on their own, and stop thinking about saving those doomed positions.

**Follow the money and you won't be wrong**

A breakout with increased volume at a low level is worth monitoring; a stagnation at a high level with increased volume means it's time to leave quickly. Trading volume doesn't lie, but prices do.

**Only do this one thing in an upward trend**

The 3-day line reflects short-term sentiment, the 30-day line indicates medium-term direction, the 84-day line assesses the main upward trend, and a reversal of the 120-day moving average is considered the long-term confirmation. Only participate in upward trends, which have the highest efficiency and the lowest risk.

**Spend ten minutes reviewing every day**

Has the logic changed? Is the trend still there? Ask yourself these two questions every day. Stick with it, and you'll avoid a lot of detours.

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