The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December has now climbed to almost 88%. What does this mean? In simple terms, it means that the world's most important central bank may be about to "inject liquidity" into the market, and financing costs are expected to decrease.
Although this macro policy sounds quite distant from us, it is important to know that once the Federal Reserve truly loosens monetary policy, the global flow of funds will inevitably create a chain reaction. According to the current market sentiment data, bullish voices are indeed prevailing.
Of course, 88% does not mean it's set in stone. Whether the policy will ultimately be implemented depends on the performance of the upcoming economic data.
The recent trends of mainstream cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, and XRP are somewhat reflecting this expectation. What do you friends think about this potential policy shift? Let's discuss your thoughts.
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BearHugger
· 12-02 06:51
88%? Sounds good, but I'm really hesitant and always feel like something will go wrong.
If interest rate cuts really happen, whether Mainstream Token can hold up is still a question.
As for point shaving, I don't trust any institution's promises anyway.
Can BTC break new highs this time? To be honest, I'm not optimistic.
Let's wait for the data to come out. Buying in now feels like gambling.
XRP has been a bit strange lately, what do you all think?
Lower financing costs ≠ rise in coin price, we need to think this logic through.
Historical lesson: an expectation of 88% often leads to Reverse operations, I'm not following the trend.
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BridgeNomad
· 12-02 06:51
ngl the 88% figure is giving false confidence... we've seen these probability swings get absolutely rekt by a surprise CPI print before. tvl migration patterns suggest money's hedging in stables rn, not fully committed to the fed pump theory yet.
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NullWhisperer
· 12-02 06:47
nah, 88% is basically just market pricing in what they want to hear. let's dissect—actual fed pivot hinges on employment data, which keeps surprising everyone. technically speaking, the cascade effect is interesting but people sleep on the counterparty risk vectors here.
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nft_widow
· 12-02 06:42
88% probability? Clearly, there is still a 12% risk, don't get too excited everyone.
Wait, where did this data come from, is it reliable?
Point shaving or not, why has BTC been sideways these days, shouldn't it be hyped up?
Feels like another "wolf is coming" situation, there might be a reversal next time interest rates are cut.
XRP is rising the most absurdly, just afraid of a policy change.
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SelfMadeRuggee
· 12-02 06:40
88%? I think this number is quite inflated. Once the economic data shows any Fluctuation, it can disappear just like that.
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Fren_Not_Food
· 12-02 06:35
88% sounds good, but I bet the economic data will miss expectations
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Is point shaving back? It feels like the crypto world has gotten used to this
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The rise of XRP recently is indeed outrageous, just wondering if it's speculation on expectations
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We still need to wait for the interest rate cut to materialize, don't get too high too early
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What happened to the promised chain reaction? Why am I still losing
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If the central bank really comes in, that would be interesting
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88% sounds bullish, but it's better to be cautious in practice
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Lower financing costs sound great
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What is BTC reflecting? Why can't I see it
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If this wave really materializes, the flow of funds should be crazy
I saw some interesting data today.
The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December has now climbed to almost 88%. What does this mean? In simple terms, it means that the world's most important central bank may be about to "inject liquidity" into the market, and financing costs are expected to decrease.
Although this macro policy sounds quite distant from us, it is important to know that once the Federal Reserve truly loosens monetary policy, the global flow of funds will inevitably create a chain reaction. According to the current market sentiment data, bullish voices are indeed prevailing.
Of course, 88% does not mean it's set in stone. Whether the policy will ultimately be implemented depends on the performance of the upcoming economic data.
The recent trends of mainstream cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, and XRP are somewhat reflecting this expectation. What do you friends think about this potential policy shift? Let's discuss your thoughts.