#数字货币市场回调 has shown a rare technical divergence: the price has retraced by 15%, yet the RSI indicator remains at a high level of 79.1 Overbought.

XPL has recently exhibited a textbook-level case of technical divergence.

The current market situation is quite interesting: while the price of the coin is correcting downward, the technical overbought signals have not alleviated in sync. This disconnection between price and indicators usually indicates a short-term failure of the market pricing mechanism, and such anomalies often contain opportunities for sharp volatility correction.

First, let's look at three noteworthy data details:

First, the liquidation data reveals the true situation. During this 15% decline, the amount of long positions liquidated reached 2.3 million dollars, while the short liquidations amounted to only 60,000 dollars. This stark contrast indicates that the downward momentum did not come from active short selling, but rather resembles a chain reaction of leveraged long positions being liquidated.

Second, the technical indicators are sending conflicting signals. The RSI is at an extreme overbought level of 79.1, which, according to conventional logic, should correspond to a continuous price increase. However, the reality is that the price is falling, creating a typical divergence structure—either the indicator will follow the price down, or the price will converge towards the indicator.

Third, the on-chain capital flow has shown divergence. The monitoring system has detected large amounts of capital accumulating during the price decline, and these main players are usually skilled at positioning during misaligned market sentiment.

Based on this divergence structure, two different risk preference responses can be considered:

Radical approach: Try to position on the left side in the range of $0.172-$0.175 with a small position, betting on a technical repair rebound. This strategy has a high payout but a very low tolerance for error, suitable for funds that can withstand the risk of going to zero.

Steady approach: Wait for the price to break through and stabilize above $0.1855 before intervening. This is equivalent to waiting for the market to give a clear recovery signal, although it may mean missing the bottom area, but it offers higher certainty.

Regardless of the strategy chosen, it is necessary to set a strict stop-loss line. If the price breaks through $0.169, it indicates that the divergence correction logic has failed, and one must exit immediately.

In terms of target levels, in the short term, we can look at around $0.19. If the recovery is strong, $0.225 may also be reached.

One last reminder: when there are pricing errors in the market, opportunities do exist, but such trades are essentially betting on the market's self-correction ability. There is only logic, no guarantee.