#数字货币市场回调 Attention, the key node is approaching. Powell's speech today avoided economic topics due to the "quiet period" rule, which precisely indicates that there are significant movements hidden in next week's interest rate meeting — the current market gives nearly a 90% probability of a rate cut in December, which is basically a certainty.
My view is very simple: on the surface, this round of operations aims to stabilize the economy, but in reality, it seems more like opening the floodgates for risk assets.
What really deserves attention is not just the interest rate cut itself, but the "dot plot" released simultaneously. That thing will reveal the expected trend of interest rates in 2026, directly affecting the market's judgment logic for the next year or more.
The impact on cryptocurrencies? The logic is straightforward – when there is more water, it naturally flows to higher ground. Once the dollar is expected to weaken, hot money will flock to high-volatility, high-return assets like Bitcoin. Looking back at past cycles, whenever a liquidity turning point appears, the crypto market has never been absent from this frenzy.
How should ordinary players respond?
1. The core position stabilizes BTC. It is the ballast of this round of macro market and also the flag that points the direction most accurately. 2. Don't rush to chase highs, wait for the rhythm. Be careful of the old routine "good news leads to a peak"; if there is a pullback after the news lands, it may be a more stable opportunity to get on board. 3. Lock in strong varieties. Once the market confirms the start, mainstream coins like ETH and SOL, as well as top altcoins, often have stronger explosive power.
It feels like the silence before the storm. Are you planning to wait until the raindrops hit your face before finding a place to hide, or will you secure your position in advance?
Follow my updates, I will share more specific operational ideas and key price ranges before next week's resolution, helping you seize this end-of-year market window.
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ProbablyNothing
· 12-03 18:10
Rate cuts = liquidity easing = price increase, this logic makes sense but I’m tired of hearing it. The key is that dot plot thing—it really will determine the pace going forward, so don’t be fooled by the news.
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As long as BTC holds steady, that’s all that matters. Everything else is just noise. Waiting for a pullback before getting in is the smart move.
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The calm before the storm… haha, or maybe it’s just the final frenzy before the market ends. Either way, I still have to bet.
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Sounds nice, but in reality, it’s just a bet that the Fed will keep injecting liquidity. If the 2026 dot plot turns out hawkish, your whole logic falls apart.
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I agree with the idea that hot money is flowing into BTC, but can ETH and SOL really keep up? Wasn’t this the same argument during the last rate cut cycle?
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Don’t make reckless moves, I agree with waiting for the right timing. A bunch of people are chasing the top right now, basically paying the price for the good news being priced in.
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FUD_Vaccinated
· 12-03 08:31
90% chance of a rate cut? Wake up, the people who got burned before haven't even recovered yet.
The dot plot is indeed important, but in the end, it all depends on the Fed’s attitude—a sudden shift and everything collapses.
BTC as a ballast isn’t wrong, but the worry is it might become the bagholder’s ballast...
Waiting for a pullback before getting in sounds easy, but when it comes to actually trading, the urge to chase the top is impossible to suppress.
SOL about to explode? Let’s see if this round gets smashed back to where it started first.
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MEVHunterLucky
· 12-02 16:28
Ha, it's the same old rhetoric again, interest rate cuts and point shaving for Cryptocurrency Trading, it's a never-ending cycle.
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ResearchChadButBroke
· 12-01 15:21
The thing about pixel art seems simple at first glance, but it's actually very tricky; once the expectations for 2026 are set, there's no way to roll them back.
View OriginalReply0
degenonymous
· 12-01 15:17
The dot matrix chart is the real killer move; there's not much to look forward to with a 90% probability.
View OriginalReply0
gas_guzzler
· 12-01 15:14
Wait, will the bitmap really be that crucial? It feels like it's always being exaggerated.
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SnapshotStriker
· 12-01 15:10
The grid chart is really key; I missed it last time and fell into a trap.
Powell not speaking this time actually says everything... next week we'll see the truth.
Water flows to lower places, we'll just wait to be submerged, haha.
It feels like it's about to start again; there will definitely be moves in December.
Bitcoin is like the long wick candle that stabilizes everything; just hold it and that's it.
It's true that when others are fearful, I am greedy.
When the news lands and there's a pullback, I'll rush in; this routine is too familiar.
Is there a lot of pressure on holdings now, or are we still preparing for a wave?
SOL really deserves a look now.
Not making a sound during the quiet period, next week it will definitely explode.
The big funds should all be lying in ambush now, while we small retail investors are still exploring here.
Wherever the hot money flows, that's where we go; simple and straightforward.
Waiting for the raindrops to hit our faces will be too late; we need to stand in line ahead of time.
View OriginalReply0
NoodlesOrTokens
· 12-01 14:55
The grid chart is the real black swan, don't be fooled by the interest rate cut news.
"BTC is the ballast" this statement is incredible, indeed it must be held tightly.
Wait, could it be another case of favourable information cashing out at the top? Feeling a bit anxious.
What does Powell's caution indicate? Is it really going to explode next week?
I agree with the logic of hot money flooding into encryption, but why does it still feel quite risky?
Don't chase the price, it's really a lesson learned the hard way, I fell for this last time.
Is it still a good time to buy SOL now? It feels a bit expensive.
The USD softening is just a matter of time, but it's really hard to say exactly when.
If this wave really takes off, ETH shouldn't be able to escape either.
It feels like gambling on whether the grid chart will be hawkish, it's a bit thrilling.
#数字货币市场回调 Attention, the key node is approaching. Powell's speech today avoided economic topics due to the "quiet period" rule, which precisely indicates that there are significant movements hidden in next week's interest rate meeting — the current market gives nearly a 90% probability of a rate cut in December, which is basically a certainty.
My view is very simple: on the surface, this round of operations aims to stabilize the economy, but in reality, it seems more like opening the floodgates for risk assets.
What really deserves attention is not just the interest rate cut itself, but the "dot plot" released simultaneously. That thing will reveal the expected trend of interest rates in 2026, directly affecting the market's judgment logic for the next year or more.
The impact on cryptocurrencies? The logic is straightforward – when there is more water, it naturally flows to higher ground. Once the dollar is expected to weaken, hot money will flock to high-volatility, high-return assets like Bitcoin. Looking back at past cycles, whenever a liquidity turning point appears, the crypto market has never been absent from this frenzy.
How should ordinary players respond?
1. The core position stabilizes BTC. It is the ballast of this round of macro market and also the flag that points the direction most accurately.
2. Don't rush to chase highs, wait for the rhythm. Be careful of the old routine "good news leads to a peak"; if there is a pullback after the news lands, it may be a more stable opportunity to get on board.
3. Lock in strong varieties. Once the market confirms the start, mainstream coins like ETH and SOL, as well as top altcoins, often have stronger explosive power.
It feels like the silence before the storm. Are you planning to wait until the raindrops hit your face before finding a place to hide, or will you secure your position in advance?
Follow my updates, I will share more specific operational ideas and key price ranges before next week's resolution, helping you seize this end-of-year market window.