Will the four-year cycle pattern of the crypto market continue? This question has sparked quite a bit of discussion recently. Tom Lee, the Chief Information Officer of Fundstrat, shared his view – the cycle still exists, but the rhythm has been disrupted.
He believes that the traditional four-year cycle framework has not failed; the current market is more affected by external variables such as macro environment and regulatory changes. These factors have caused the originally relatively regular rise and fall rhythm to deviate, but the underlying cyclical logic is still in operation. In other words, it is not that the cycle has disappeared, but rather it has become more complex.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
21 Likes
Reward
21
9
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
LiquidationWizard
· 12-03 20:14
"Cycle complication" is just another way of saying the code has become a complete mess. Who can really make accurate predictions anyway?
View OriginalReply0
New_Ser_Ngmi
· 12-02 22:05
To put it bluntly, isn't it just trying to shift the blame to regulation and the macro environment? The cycle has been disrupted beyond recognition, yet they still dare to say the framework hasn't failed?
Tom Lee is telling stories again; anyway, his theories can fit any rise or fall.
Cycle logic? Ha, then why can't anyone predict accurately?
Complicating things is just an excuse for not aligning with the market, sounds nice.
Rather than believing in cycles, it's better to trust your own intuition; after all, most people are losing.
View OriginalReply0
StakeHouseDirector
· 12-02 20:57
The cycle is disrupted? That means there is no cycle, stop making excuses for yourself, haha.
View OriginalReply0
BoredApeResistance
· 12-01 14:59
Isn't the rhythm being disrupted equivalent to the cycle already being dead? Yet here we are making excuses for ourselves.
View OriginalReply0
governance_lurker
· 12-01 14:57
The statement that the cycle has been disrupted is just for show; to put it bluntly, it is still being tightly controlled by the two fathers of macroeconomics and regulation.
View OriginalReply0
MetadataExplorer
· 12-01 14:57
Is the rhythm disrupted? To put it simply, it's still the same cycle; it's just that there are too many variables.
View OriginalReply0
MentalWealthHarvester
· 12-01 14:41
Has the cycle become more complicated? To put it simply, no one can say for sure.
View OriginalReply0
PensionDestroyer
· 12-01 14:35
It's still the same cycle, just that no one can hit the timing right anymore, haha.
View OriginalReply0
0xSunnyDay
· 12-01 14:30
The cycle is disrupted? Then there is no cycle, anyway I can't understand it.
Will the four-year cycle pattern of the crypto market continue? This question has sparked quite a bit of discussion recently. Tom Lee, the Chief Information Officer of Fundstrat, shared his view – the cycle still exists, but the rhythm has been disrupted.
He believes that the traditional four-year cycle framework has not failed; the current market is more affected by external variables such as macro environment and regulatory changes. These factors have caused the originally relatively regular rise and fall rhythm to deviate, but the underlying cyclical logic is still in operation. In other words, it is not that the cycle has disappeared, but rather it has become more complex.