2025-12-01 14:10:24

#数字货币市场回调 Alert! The actions of the Central Bank of Japan have triggered a chain reaction, and the crypto market is in a sharp fall. Is this a disaster signal or a good opportunity to get on board?

On December 1, the Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, sent a strong signal - publicly stating that at the policy meeting on December 19, they would "assess the timing of interest rate hikes"; once the economic and inflation indicators meet expectations, the interest rate hike cycle will begin. This statement instantly ignited the market nerves: the Nikkei 225 index saw a maximum intraday fall of over 2%, and the bond market was similarly pressured. Bitcoin and Ethereum also could not escape, following a rapid pullback in global risk assets.

The logic of transmission is actually quite clear. For a long time, international capital has been accustomed to borrowing low-cost yen for cross-market arbitrage. Once interest rate hike expectations rise and the yen exchange rate strengthens, these high-leverage positions must urgently close positions to stop losses. BTC and ETH, as 24-hour traded and deeply liquid assets, are often the first to be sold off for cash. But there is a key point here: this round of decline is essentially a "liquidity squeeze", rather than a deterioration in the fundamentals of the encryption industry; it is completely unrelated to the project's own technological progress and ecological development.

Another turning point that is easily overlooked is: the Federal Reserve has officially announced the cessation of tapering operations on December 1. This means that the most strained phase of liquidity has ended. At the same time, Ethereum is set to launch the Fusaka upgrade in December, which will not only enhance the token's value capture ability but also optimize the fee structure of Layer 2 - this could be the rebound momentum that the market has underestimated.

Panic has always been the root of retail investors' losses; only through calm analysis can opportunities be seized. Is now the time to take advantage of the pullback to position in quality assets, or should we continue to wait for clearer signals? Are your BTC and ETH positions held through the volatility, or have you already exited early? Share your strategies and opinions in the comments, and let's interpret the upcoming trends together.

BTC-2.48%

ETH-2.53%

DOGE-4.43%

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ProbablyNothing

· 12-04 10:51

Yen arbitrage blew up again, same old story. --- Damn, have to close positions again, retail investors' blood pressure maxed out. --- It's just a liquidity crunch, fundamentals haven't changed, I'm still HODLing. --- Why is nobody hyping up the Fed stopping QT? Instead, everyone is calling it a disaster. --- Will the Fusaka upgrade just be more hype? Ethereum has made too many promises over the years. --- Chickened out and exited directly, will wait for a clearer signal. --- Opportunity to scoop up at low prices is here, just depends on who dares to bottom fish. --- Bank of Japan: I announce a rate hike. Market: I'm jumping off a building. --- Hold on, you only make money by riding out volatility, jumping in and out all the time just gets you rekt. --- Kazuo Ueda just loves stirring things up, always making it harder for retail investors.

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OnChainSleuth

· 12-03 21:18

It’s the Bank of Japan stirring things up again, same as always. Wait, the Fed stopped quantitative tightening? That’s the real headline. Will the Fusaka upgrade really change anything? I have my doubts. Those who bought at the bottom are feeling smug now, while I’m still watching. A pullback is just a pullback, not the first time—I’m used to it. No matter how many times people talk about retail investors losing money, some still won’t listen. I’m just holding anyway, a drop is a good chance to buy more. This drop isn’t as scary as people imagined, it’s just a false alarm. The yen’s appreciation triggered a wave of liquidations, but things will rebound naturally once the dust settles. To put it plainly, it’s just institutions harvesting retail investors again—buy the dip, buy, buy, buy.

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ContractTester

· 12-02 05:35

The Bank of Japan is stirring things up again, every time they have to smash it hard Wait, is the balance sheet reduction stopped? Why is no one paying attention, just shouting for a drop The Fusaka upgrade really has something, but who dares to leverage now My BTC is still there, anyway, it can't fall much further, just treat it as Auto-Invest This round of decline looks fierce, but it's actually just about high leverage Close Position, the fundamentals are not problematic Honestly, I kind of want to buy the dip, but I'm afraid it will drop again... forget it, let's continue to follow When the Nikkei falls, the whole world goes down with it, it would be great if A-shares could stay calm for two days, haha

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MEVEye

· 12-01 14:34

It's fallen again... I really didn't expect this move from the Bank of Japan. This is the price of high leverage; sometimes I genuinely worry about those all-in brothers. Isn't anyone paying attention to the Fed's halt in balance sheet reduction? This is more critical than the Central Bank's rate hike signals. Holdings remain unchanged; let's see if the Fusaka upgrade can save the day. I haven't touched the yen arbitrage for a long time; it's too easy to get trapped as suckers. Panic is an opportunity, but it depends on whether you still have any bullets... I'm just thinking, after this drop, will there be another round of pumping? It feels like the technical side is still there. To be honest, this market reaction seems a bit excessive; there aren't any substantial negative news on the fundamentals. Every time there's a big dump, people say it's a great opportunity, but very few are truly willing to buy the dip. Just hold on; after all, in the long run, it's still upward. There's no need to panic about short-term fluctuations.

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WagmiOrRekt

· 12-01 14:32

The Bank of Japan really knows how to find the right timing for dumping every time. I really don't believe that a rebound is that simple? The Fusaka upgrade is useless, it's all about the dumping rhythm now. I just went in directly, anyway, if it falls, I’ll do Margin Replenishment. They say there's liquidity squeeze, but honestly, everyone is just running. Let's wait and see, we'll talk again on December 19th. Why does it feel like a routine again, panic first and then a rebound? I still have my ETH, continuing to hold on tight. This kind of situation is the easiest to fall into a trap, I advise everyone not to catch a falling knife. What's so surprising about the yen appreciating? It happens every year.

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SelfSovereignSteve

· 12-01 14:30

The Bank of Japan runs as soon as it raises interest rates; these institutions really only know how to play people for suckers. It's all about liquidity squeeze and closing positions; to put it bluntly, it's just large investors grabbing money. The Fusaka upgrade is indeed worth looking forward to, but to dare to increase the position now, one must have a huge heart... I'm optimistic about the long term, but this short-term wave is truly disgusting; I'll wait to enter a position later. Ueda and his comments directly dumped three thousand dollars; forget it, I'm not looking at the market anymore. Holdings remain unchanged; just pretend I haven't seen this market. Rather than agonizing over whether to enter or not, it's better to think about how much you can lose. Actually, this is a money-giving opportunity, but unfortunately, I have no money on hand. The Fed's halt in tapering can be considered favourable information, but it's been messed up by the Bank of Japan. Having fallen so much, it feels like the bottom is pretty much in, but who can say for sure? Liquidity squeeze? I only see retail investors being squeezed. Real low-price layout opportunities aren't that easy; I've seen the script of repeated dumping too many times.

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CounterIndicator

· 12-01 14:20

Yen arbitrage positions are closing, it's not like there's a fundamental disaster, so why panic? Buying on dips is the real deal, the Fed has stopped tapering. Fusaka's upgrade has indeed been underestimated this time. At this time, it's actually the moment to increase the position, but retail investors love to cut loss here. I am firmly holding on, let's see who can laugh last.

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DataPickledFish

· 12-01 14:12

The Bank of Japan's recent moves are really something to deal with. Eating a bit at a low position isn't a loss, just afraid it will fall again after eating. Can the Fusaka upgrade really save the situation? It's a bit uncertain. Our position has already been halved, so we are just watching this round. Liquidity squeeze sounds nice, but in reality, it's just being played for suckers. The Fed's halt on balance sheet reduction is the key issue, right? I wonder why every pullback has to be called a great opportunity to get on board. Just hold on, anyway, it won't run away, lying flat is the most comfortable. The fall in the crypto world really tests one's mentality.

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