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Bro, don't mess with my mindset... Just saw Peter Brandt throw out a harsh point: if BTC can't hold up against the long-term channel's ceiling, it's not impossible for it to go straight to 40000.
He spent half a day studying the weekly logarithmic chart—did you notice that this year BTC hasn't touched the upper trend line drawn from the 2013 bull market at all? That wasn't a good sign in the past. The historical pattern is there; every time it fails to break through the ceiling, the price starts to test the support at the lower trend line. Honestly, the situation looks a bit precarious right now.