A new week has opened, but don't rush to stare at the market; we need to figure out where this week's "minefields" are.
Let's get straight to the point — this week's market hinges on two key U.S. data events: Powell's speech in the early hours of Wednesday and the September core PCE inflation data on Friday evening. The former is the Federal Reserve Chairman whose every word can cause global assets to tremble; any change in his wording regarding interest rate trends will instantly affect BTC prices. As for the PCE? That's the inflation thermometer most recognized within the Federal Reserve; once the data is released, the market will immediately reprice its expectations for future monetary policy.
In simple terms, these two things determine the "valve" of liquidity expectations, and the short-term sentiment of the crypto market basically depends on their mood.
In addition to these two heavy punches, there will also be the U.S. ADP employment data (commonly known as "little non-farm"), and the consumer confidence index will be released on Friday. While these are secondary, at this sensitive moment, any figure that exceeds expectations could amplify market volatility. The reaction of U.S. stocks, gold, and the dollar index will be swift, and the speed of emotional contagion is faster than a virus.
Any practical advice for everyone?
First of all, don't rush to go all in on any direction this week. The market is prone to roller coasters around significant data releases, and betting on the wrong direction can be costly. Instead of gambling on price points, it's better to wait for clear signals.
Secondly, check your position allocation. Ask yourself one question: If BTC suddenly drops by 15% or surges by 20% tonight, can I sleep well? If you can't handle it, then reduce your position in advance; the market will always be there, but if the principal is gone, it’s really gone.
Finally, pay more attention to the overall picture. Don't just focus on the coin prices; take a quick glance at the movements in the traditional financial markets as well. The emotional resonance between them is often more direct than you might think.
In summary: This week is a week of intense news bombardment, and maintaining a calm mindset is more important than chasing short-term trades. Once this wave of data settles down, the market direction will naturally reveal itself.
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ForeverBuyingDips
· 1h ago
As soon as Powell starts speaking, my hands start to shake. Looks like I’ll be staying up late again this week.
That speech in the early hours of Wednesday really determines life or death. The PCE data is even more critical—just these two things are enough to mess with us retail investors.
All in? Not me, I’ve learned my lesson. This week I’m just lying low and waiting for the data to come out. Mindset is most important.
That line about checking positions really hit me. I can sleep through a 15% drop, but a 20% gain keeps me up at night, haha.
Feels like there’s a minefield every week. When will I finally be able to watch the market in peace?
US stocks, gold, oil, and the dollar move together almost as fast as a spreading virus—I can’t even keep up.
Just this week, I’ll reduce some positions and finally get a good night’s sleep. The market isn’t going anywhere anyway.
I’m sure I’ll get liquidated on the day Powell speaks, so better to set my stop loss early and have peace of mind.
I get what “news bombardment week” means now. I used to trip up trying to catch short-term moves. This time I’ll really just wait and see.
Lying low for a week, waiting for the dust to settle. When it’s time to get up, I’ll get up naturally.
View OriginalReply0
VitalikFanboy42
· 4h ago
Every time Powell opens his mouth, I know something's about to go wrong. Every time, I have to ride the roller coaster with him.
Wait, will this Friday's PCE really crash the market? Or do we have to keep holding on?
All in? That's hilarious. This week I'm just lying flat and watching the show.
View OriginalReply0
FlashLoanLarry
· 12-01 12:50
ngl powell's gonna print money through the mic again, liquidity depth gonna shift like 200 bps in microseconds... classic opportunity cost play if u actually understand basis point mechanics
Reply0
GasGuzzler
· 12-01 12:45
Every time Powell opens his mouth, I get nervous. Last time he dropped a dovish signal, the coin price went straight to a Waterloo...
Gotta watch out in the early hours of Wednesday, if the PCE really exceeds expectations, oh my, it’s going to explode.
To be honest, rather than going all in, it's better to just relax and wait for clear signals; after all, it's all a gamble.
I'm just afraid of a 20% plummet tonight, and the account will go back to square one...
Emotional contagion spreads faster than a virus, haha. This week, I really have to keep my composure.
View OriginalReply0
just_another_fish
· 12-01 12:36
As soon as Powell opened his mouth, I knew I was going to be played people for suckers.
Staying up late on Wednesday, just waiting to be trapped.
You're right, going all in is asking for death; we need to stay alive to see next week.
This week, lying flat is the optimal solution; we'll talk after the data is out.
Once the PCE comes out, it’s probably going to be a rollercoaster again; I choose to open a box of cereal.
View OriginalReply0
BoredStaker
· 12-01 12:22
Powell is going to speak again, and when this guy opens his mouth, the crypto world shakes, it's really amazing.
Make sure to guard these two time points on Wednesday and Friday, the PCE data is the price setter.
Honestly, this week feels a bit shaky, going all in could easily lead to losses, it's better to be steady than anything else.
I actually just want to know if we can still experience a bull run this year...
If your Position can't hold up, it's time to reduce it now, don't wait until you're Rekt to regret.
A new week has opened, but don't rush to stare at the market; we need to figure out where this week's "minefields" are.
Let's get straight to the point — this week's market hinges on two key U.S. data events: Powell's speech in the early hours of Wednesday and the September core PCE inflation data on Friday evening. The former is the Federal Reserve Chairman whose every word can cause global assets to tremble; any change in his wording regarding interest rate trends will instantly affect BTC prices. As for the PCE? That's the inflation thermometer most recognized within the Federal Reserve; once the data is released, the market will immediately reprice its expectations for future monetary policy.
In simple terms, these two things determine the "valve" of liquidity expectations, and the short-term sentiment of the crypto market basically depends on their mood.
In addition to these two heavy punches, there will also be the U.S. ADP employment data (commonly known as "little non-farm"), and the consumer confidence index will be released on Friday. While these are secondary, at this sensitive moment, any figure that exceeds expectations could amplify market volatility. The reaction of U.S. stocks, gold, and the dollar index will be swift, and the speed of emotional contagion is faster than a virus.
Any practical advice for everyone?
First of all, don't rush to go all in on any direction this week. The market is prone to roller coasters around significant data releases, and betting on the wrong direction can be costly. Instead of gambling on price points, it's better to wait for clear signals.
Secondly, check your position allocation. Ask yourself one question: If BTC suddenly drops by 15% or surges by 20% tonight, can I sleep well? If you can't handle it, then reduce your position in advance; the market will always be there, but if the principal is gone, it’s really gone.
Finally, pay more attention to the overall picture. Don't just focus on the coin prices; take a quick glance at the movements in the traditional financial markets as well. The emotional resonance between them is often more direct than you might think.
In summary: This week is a week of intense news bombardment, and maintaining a calm mindset is more important than chasing short-term trades. Once this wave of data settles down, the market direction will naturally reveal itself.