Recently, the position of the Fed chair has become the focus of the market.
The matter originated from a statement made by Trump in early December — he said he had already chosen a candidate but would not reveal who it is. Once this was said, various speculations arose. The name Kevin Hassett was frequently mentioned, after all, he had previously served as the Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. However, Hassett himself remained quite calm and directly denied that these were anything but rumors.
Interestingly, a rumor suddenly emerged on social media over the weekend that current chairman Powell might announce his resignation at an emergency meeting on Monday evening. It sounds explosive, but upon closer examination, no mainstream financial media followed up on the report. Looking at the prediction contracts on Polymarket, the trading probability for "Powell resigning this year" is only 3%—the market clearly does not buy it.
What is truly worth paying attention to is the arrangement for Tuesday morning: Powell will attend a memorial event and give a speech. Although the theme has not been announced, every word he says in such an occasion could influence market sentiments, especially in the policy-sensitive area of crypto assets.
The situation is quite delicate right now - politicians are making statements and market speculation is rampant, yet there is no official news. It is advisable for everyone to stay vigilant while not being swayed by various "rumors", and to wait for the official announcement before making any judgments. After all, the Fed's actions directly impact the liquidity and risk appetite of the entire financial market.
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CryptoPunster
· 5h ago
It's that same "I decided but won't tell you" trick again; the position of the Fed chairman has really become an escape room.
There's a 3% chance that people are betting on Powell's departure; they must be really idle.
I bet five bucks that Tuesday's speech can stir up three days of market drama; the crypto world is most afraid of this kind of "might say something" Schrödinger's speech.
The market is still blindly cultivating; we should wake up a bit.
When rumors are flying everywhere, it's often a signal for Be Played for Suckers; remembering this rule can save a lot of unnecessary money.
Instead of guessing who sits in this chair, it's better to keep a good eye on your own Wallet.
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PriceOracleFairy
· 5h ago
polymarket pricing this at 3% is absolutely unhinged lmao... either the oracle is broken or everyone's sleeping on tail risk again 🤔 classic market inefficiency moment ngl
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GateUser-3824aa38
· 5h ago
It's this trap again, Trump is teasing, and the market is guessing blindly. The probability of three points can become news, it's hilarious.
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DeFiDoctor
· 5h ago
The consultation record shows that this is yet another typical case of "policy expectation speculation complications"... The 3% trading probability has made it clear, and the market's clinical performance is very sober, while the social media side is quite self-excited.
Let's wait for Powell's speech on Tuesday, that will be the real risk warning signal.
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JustHereForMemes
· 5h ago
Is the Fed chairman going to change again? Trump, this suspense king, can't really hold it in, haha
The probability of Powell leaving this year is only 3%, Polymarket has spoken the truth, much more reliable than those wild rumors
I'll be keeping an eye on Powell's speech on Tuesday, who knows it might lead to another market trend
Don't put too much faith in those "emergency resignation" rumors on social media, right now it's just various speculations flying around, mainstream media hasn't followed up
This drama really happens once a year, every time it makes the market uneasy
Just wait for the official announcement, rather than guessing blindly, it's better to let the data speak
Sure enough, we'll have to wait until Powell speaks for the market to calm down, I'm betting $5 that day crypto will fluctuate
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PessimisticOracle
· 5h ago
It's the same trap again, Trump is teasing, Polymarket's 3% probability says it all, retail investors believe the rumors every day.
Recently, the position of the Fed chair has become the focus of the market.
The matter originated from a statement made by Trump in early December — he said he had already chosen a candidate but would not reveal who it is. Once this was said, various speculations arose. The name Kevin Hassett was frequently mentioned, after all, he had previously served as the Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. However, Hassett himself remained quite calm and directly denied that these were anything but rumors.
Interestingly, a rumor suddenly emerged on social media over the weekend that current chairman Powell might announce his resignation at an emergency meeting on Monday evening. It sounds explosive, but upon closer examination, no mainstream financial media followed up on the report. Looking at the prediction contracts on Polymarket, the trading probability for "Powell resigning this year" is only 3%—the market clearly does not buy it.
What is truly worth paying attention to is the arrangement for Tuesday morning: Powell will attend a memorial event and give a speech. Although the theme has not been announced, every word he says in such an occasion could influence market sentiments, especially in the policy-sensitive area of crypto assets.
The situation is quite delicate right now - politicians are making statements and market speculation is rampant, yet there is no official news. It is advisable for everyone to stay vigilant while not being swayed by various "rumors", and to wait for the official announcement before making any judgments. After all, the Fed's actions directly impact the liquidity and risk appetite of the entire financial market.