Michael Saylor released a buying signal, and a trader with a 100% win rate predicts that the prediction market will open again.

On December 1, according to monitoring by PolyBeats, Michael Saylor, the founder of the publicly listed company MicroStrategy, which holds the largest amount of Bitcoin in the world, again published information related to Bitcoin Tracker on X at 8 AM EST on November 30. According to previous patterns, Strategy always discloses information about increasing Bitcoin holdings the day after related announcements. Once the tweet was released, the probability in the prediction market “Will MicroStrategy announce the purchase of Bitcoin from November 25 to December 1?” rose sharply from 71% to 98%. Although there is only one day left until the settlement date (December 1), the probability in the order book remains stable at around 90%, showing the market's extremely high confidence in Michael Saylor's signals. Analysis reveals that this order book also aggregates some highly interpretive accounts, revealing traders' deep insights into MicroStrategy's purchasing strategy: the account of user danielesta holds a total value of over $8,300 in this order book, with an average price of 89¢ for “Yes”, indicating that he is extremely certain that MicroStrategy will announce a purchase before the deadline. However, it is intriguing that in another related order book “Will MicroStrategy announce the purchase of >1000 BTC from November 25 to December 1?” he holds the same average price No shares (worth $1,051). This dual operation suggests that danielesta believes MSTR will definitely announce the purchase of BTC today, and the amount will be less than 1,000 coins. His only historical transaction also successfully predicted the timing of MicroStrategy's Bitcoin purchases. Another trader, Ktulhuu, currently holds the only position in this order book, with a “Yes” at an average price of 93¢, totaling a value of up to $26,600. More notably, all six of his historical transactions are related to MicroStrategy's holding or purchasing of Bitcoin, and all six transactions were profitable, with a win rate of 100%.